The evolution result of a star is basically determined by its mass.
The quality of UY shield constellation cannot be accurately determined. First of all, because it has no visible companion, its mass cannot be measured by the gravitational interference of the companion. Second, because it is far away, reaching 9500 light years (some people think it is only 5 100 light years), and it is located in the hidden zone of the big fissure of Cygnus, its light will be blocked by interstellar dust. At present, its mass is considered to be between 7 and 10 solar mass.
According to the current theory of stellar evolution, a supernova explosion of this quality is certain. UY is in the extremely unstable red Supergiant star stage, and its life span is only 6.5438+million to 50 million years (depending on its quality, the greater the quality, the shorter the life span). After that, the star will collapse due to the core and a supernova explosion will occur.
But it is uncertain whether a black hole can be formed. Stars with an initial mass more than 8 times that of the sun will form black holes. If the mass of the UY shield exceeds 8 times that of the sun, it is almost certain that a black hole will be formed.
But if its mass is only seven times that of the sun, it depends on how much mass it can have when a supernova explodes. If the residual mass is more than 3.2 times the mass of the sun (called Oppenheimer limit), a black hole will be formed. But if the residual mass is less than 3.2 times that of the sun, only massive neutron stars can be formed.