Count the prime ministers before he reached the summit: Shinzo Abe, who was born in a famous Japanese political family, had two prime ministers before Shinzo Abe, one of whom was Shinzo Abe's brother; Yukio Hatoyama is an outstanding representative of the Kennedy family in Japan, and his grandfather Ichiro Hatoyama is also one of the famous Japanese prime ministers. There are Yasuo Fukuda, Taro Aso and Junichiro Koizumi. These are undoubtedly not cultivated by Japanese political families, but they have a perfect prime minister support system. Suga Yoshihide, who was born in poverty and has no background, is like a politician with "three noes" by comparison. He has no faction, no background, no abundant funds, and every step is very difficult. So how far can the 73-year-old "three noes" prime minister go? Suga Yoshihide was born in a big strawberry family. His father returned to his hometown to grow strawberries after the naval battle in Anding. Because of his clever mind and brave attitude towards life, he soon became famous in the local area.
Because of this, Kan's parents attach great importance to their children's education. Apart from Suga Yoshihide, who was born in Hosei University, his two sisters are also college students. Although it is not as good as the way that aristocratic families raise children, it is enough to broaden Suga Yoshihide's horizons and set up a higher pursuit of life.
Of course, you can't fight your way out in Japanese politics controlled by big families with a warm heart and lofty aspirations. You also need a Bole who is willing to appreciate you and choose you. Suga Yoshihide is very lucky, he met the most important person in his life, Okonogi Hikosaburo, who led him into the world of political chaos and brought him into the marriage hall (Okonogi Hikosaburo is the matchmaker between Suga Yoshihide and his wife Kan Falseko).
After graduating from Hosei University, he became a Okonogi Hikosaburo student and worked as a secretary in the Japanese House of Representatives. Okonogi Hikosaburo gained a lot of political experience not only because of his generous teaching, but also because of his contact with many famous politicians, his heart to win the political arena became stronger and stronger.
But as a small white without any political background, it is far from enough to rely solely on the selection of a member of parliament and a teacher. He needs to communicate from time to time and expand his circle of friends from time to time, and the position of secretary can just meet his needs, so he worked as a secretary for 1 1 year, accounting for 1/4 of his political life.
After more than 30 years of struggle, Suga Yoshihide finally saw the hope of life. At that time, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe paid attention to this little three who had no political background, was smart and was good at forbearing planning.
If Japan's next prime minister gets the support of Abe family, the future development of Abe family will be smooth sailing, and it is likely to present the grand occasion of "one four prime ministers" and "one five prime ministers". So Suga Yoshihide, regarded as "the heir of Abe's family name", began his promotion journey.
First, in September of 20 12, Shinzo Abe appointed him as the acting secretary-general of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan, and then in the same year, he was promoted to the position of Chief Cabinet Secretary, responsible for national security. Even when Shinzo Abe frequently reshuffled his cabinet from 14 to 18, Suga Yoshihide's position was in jeopardy.
And he also failed the expectations of Abe's family. During Abe's administration, he repeatedly committed crimes, became the person responsible for reducing Okinawa's responsibility, assumed the responsibility of kidnapping, and handled many thorny issues. His status as a "grassroots politician" and a "civilian child" even blessed him with a halo and impressed the Japanese people.
At the same time, under the influence of Abe's family, Hosoda and Aso, the largest factions of the Liberal Democratic Party, also decided to support Suga Yoshihide, and Suga Yoshihide was successfully elected as the president of the Liberal Democratic Party.
In September 2020, Abe's cabinet resigned collectively. As his successor, Suga Yoshihide formally formed a cabinet and became the 99th Japanese Prime Minister.
It took Suga Yoshihide more than 40 years to change from a farmer in cloth to a political tycoon. Fortunately, he never gave up and never complained, so he got the help of the nobles and realized his dream. So what actions did Suga Yoshihide take in the face of the Japanese clan regime and the complicated international situation?
As a prime minister chosen by the Abe family and not yet settled down, the best choice is to be radical, that is, to continue the style of his predecessor and not shake the basics of national policy. Otherwise, Abe's family will be angered, and Suga Yoshihide's road as prime minister will be endless. You know, what Japan needs most is a "short-lived prime minister".
Therefore, from the first day of Suga Yoshihide's inaugural speech, he made it clear that the epidemic situation is the "optimal problem" facing Japan, and his task is to steadily inherit the "Abe policy" and push it forward.
Between the lines is full of reverence for his predecessor. It can be said that his attitude is very low, and his future decision-making actions, as he said, are completely implementing Abe's policies.
First of all, it is economic. When Shinzo Abe was in office, he constantly promoted the "Abenomics", mainly promoting the market economy and loose monetary policy, accelerating the depreciation of the yen exchange rate from time to time, and injecting new vitality into the financial sector.
Suga Yoshihide spoke highly of Abenomics and spoke highly of him. After taking office, the main economic development direction is to devalue the yen, increase the referendum and stimulate the private economy. In particular, the right to host the Tokyo Olympic Games won by Shinzo Abe during his administration is still highly valued by the current government as the focus of awakening the national economy.
In the global economic downturn, Suga Yoshihide's "economic breakthrough theory" in "Abenomics" is gradually on the right track, and it depends on whether it can reappear in the future.
Secondly, it is about diplomatic issues. As a result of long-term management of internal relations, Suga Yoshihide is still a "novice" in diplomatic issues. Whether it is US-Japan relations, Sino-Japanese relations or Russian-Japanese relations, the overall pace has not deviated from the influence of Shinzo Abe, and "right-leaning" decisions are still being made, especially on the Sino-Russian issue.
Not only did Russia take the opportunity to attack the four northern islands when the United States was at a loss, claiming to seize the islands as soon as possible; China's marine police law, together with the suspension of military exercises by the United States and the demonstrations on the sovereignty of the East China Sea and the South China Sea, are determined to create trouble for Asia and Europe.
However, it is worth mentioning that this is only one aspect of his diplomatic activities. In public interviews with some media, Suga Yoshihide always reveals the meaning of "liking China" and "being close to China" and tries his best to be a "good neighbor".
This is very similar to Abe's diplomatic style. One second he was visiting the Yasukuni Shrine, and the next he shook hands with the representative of China. At most, he is gentle and looks sincere.
As for the United States, it is still a "true friend" of Japan. However, the newly appointed US President Biden is more obsessed with military struggle than Trump, who is preoccupied with the economy. I'm afraid his future economic and trade will be less pessimistic.
Generally speaking, since Suga Yoshihide took office, apart from the impact of the epidemic, Japan's development has been satisfactory, with neither much progress nor much decline. Basically stabilized the situation in Japan and successfully succeeded Shinzo Abe. Japan's future development, whether his ruling road is long or not, depends on his meticulous execution ability.
Suga Yoshihide along the way, how hard, how long. However, as a helpless prime minister who is in power in the struggles of various factions, he must never "do whatever he wants" like Abe, and every decision he makes will be magnified by his eyes. No matter how talented and ambitious he is, he must yield to the status quo and fate. This must mean that his road to governing the country can only be radical.
Some people say that Suga Yoshihide is just a "transitional prime minister", and when other Japanese political factions fight again to produce a new successor, his days as prime minister will come to an end. But is this really the case? This answer is open to question.
Neither Abe's departure nor Suga Yoshihide's promotion was an accident. They are the result of balance among all parties. Now they used to be facts, and they can't be changed unless other forces unite to overthrow him.
However, I am afraid that the Abe family who helped him up will not let him go casually. After all, Suga Yoshihide is Abe's confidant. As long as you stay in the position of Prime Minister, it will be much easier for Abe to be reinstated or other Abe family members to prepare for the upper position. If Suga Yoshihide steps down, the Abe family's plan is likely to fail, so the Abe family will stick to this position.
As long as Suga Yoshihide does not harm the interests of the Abe family and is willing to continue the previous policy, the Abe family will definitely not change its generals casually, which is good for both sides.
In addition, during this period, Japan was severely hit by the COVID-19 epidemic. Unless you are a very good talent, it is difficult to change the status quo. No matter who comes to power, the pressure is very great. A little carelessness will lead to fire, not only for yourself, but also for the future development of the family.
So Japanese political families are now looking around to see how much Suga Yoshihide has done. If they can get through this period smoothly, it's not too late for them to make another move. Based on this calculation, it is not too difficult for Suga Yoshihide to pass this term smoothly as long as he does not make serious mistakes.
Others said that even if he didn't make a big mistake, I'm afraid he won't be able to wait for that day, because his approval rate has plummeted from 65% to 34%, and his disapproval rate has risen from 13% to 43%, so Suga Yoshihide can't stand such a terrible public opinion.
But we must know that the support rate is important, but the control of superiors is more important. The decline of Suga Yoshihide's approval rating during his tenure is not accidental, but inevitable. Even if Shinzo Abe is in power, many public opinions will be frustrated in the face of repeated postponements of the Tokyo Olympic Games and frequent outbreaks of domestic epidemics, and Suga Yoshihide has just embarked on a normal path.
The more people see his "thankless job", the more they will be afraid of the position of prime minister now, and his position will be more stable. It is easy to grab a golden rice bowl, but if there is no rice in the bowl, people will starve to death.
With the advent of COVID-19 vaccine, the impact of the epidemic in the east has gradually weakened. As long as Suga Yoshihide can hold the last stick, its future success is just around the corner.
But as a 73-year-old man, his physical function and spirit are in a weak state from time to time. Even with the support and support of many parties, his ruling life may not be too long. Good health is a hard condition, and no one can escape his sanctions. So on the whole, there is still room for Suga Yoshihide's future, but compared with Shinzo Abe, a phenomenal prime minister who has been re-elected for four consecutive terms, it is really short. Compared with the "short-lived prime minister" in Japanese history, Suga Yoshihide's achievements are satisfactory.
There is an old saying in China that "times make heroes". We can see that the best politicians in the past century came from World War I and World War II. Because of the environment at that time, they can only survive better if they become stronger and smarter. In contrast, they used to be very warm today, and people's fighting spirit and blood will be greatly reduced. Politicians who are also human beings can't get rid of this law.
However, Suga Yoshihide was born in a wealthy family since childhood. He didn't suffer too much, and he didn't receive too much high-end education. Everything about him was formed in decades of political practice. But unfortunately, he spent most of his time on the decision-making of the "secretary", always obeying rather than giving orders, which cultivated his weakness, lack of determination and no characteristics.
Sudden control of power always imitates the ideological policies of predecessors, and it is difficult to have its own theories and achievements. Therefore, he must not be a great leader who has made great achievements and changed the history of the country and the world. But it is precisely because of this obedience in his bones that he can stand out from the millions of ordinary children in Qian Qian and reach the peak of power.
Maybe he has no background, no faction and no help, but he is smart, talented and lucky. He can make full use of his identity advantages and personality strengths to love those in power, and he can create a world of his own in the complex political battlefield, which was once unmatched by ordinary people.
His ruling road may not be very long, and he may not necessarily make great achievements, but it is not a big problem to rely on his years of experience as a "big housekeeper" to stabilize the scene of this session and win opportunities for future development.
Finally, I hope that Japan, China, besieged Russia or other countries can get rid of the virus as soon as possible and breathe fresh and comfortable air. I also hope that more outstanding talents will emerge in the world political arena, laying the foundation for our common development.