Tesla's soaring share price (from 10/65438+408 USD on October 6th to 654 USD in less than one month, an increase of more than 60%) is an opportunity for Tesla to be included in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. According to the rules of the game, some funds need to passively allocate S&P 500 stocks. ?
With the new round of stock price soaring, Tesla submitted a document to the SEC on February 8, 65438, indicating that it has reached an equity distribution agreement with banks such as Goldman Sachs and Citigroup, and it is expected to issue up to $5 billion in shares. In February and September this year, Tesla has issued $2.3 billion and $5 billion of shares respectively, and raised a total of $654.38+02.3 billion in three issues.
This round of Tesla's issuance triggered a sharp drop in Tesla's share price, falling by over 9% and closing down by 6.99%. I don't know if this is a small revision of Tesla's market value 1 trillion dollars, or it will cause unreachable results. However, for Tesla, it is important that $65.438+0.23 billion is paid by issuing shares at almost zero cost (the cost may be higher), which can hardly be refreshed.
There is no need to discuss whether Tesla can reach the market value of 1 trillion dollars, and whether it is worth 1 trillion dollars, because there are one hundred and one thousand reasons to support the views of can and can't, value and unworthiness. This article wants to look at this problem from another angle:
Tesla's market value is $65,438 +0 trillion. What will happen? -Feitian is Tesla's apprentice in China.
In addition to Tesla, there are also Tesla's apprentices in China-Li and Xpeng Motors:
1, 12 On February 2, Li (NYSE: Li) announced that it planned to issue 47 million additional American Depositary Shares (ADS), with a net fundraising amount of about16.02 million US dollars. If the underwriter exercises the over-allotment right, Li will raise184.05 million USD.
On February 9th, 265438, Peng Automobile (NYSE:XPEV) announced that it planned to issue 48 million American Depositary Receipts (ADSs) at a price of 45 USD /ADS. Based on this calculation, the total amount of funds to be raised by Xpeng Motors this time is US$ 26,543.8+0.6 billion, which is the largest initial stock issue in the history of China Stock Exchange. ?
What the whole market may have to wait for now is when Weilai Automobile will raise additional funds. Previously, Weilai, Ideality and Tucki, including Weimar, which has not yet been listed, all held nearly 20 billion yuan in cash reserves through pre-IPO, IPO or debt-to-equity swap and equity financing through the super-friendly market environment this year.
With the skyrocketing stock price, Ideal and Tucki raised more than 654.38+0 billion yuan, or even 654.38+0.5 billion yuan. This fundraising opportunity may not happen again. Weilai should not hesitate at this time, raise more funds when the market environment is good, ensure the research and development of the arms race, and marketing and promoting grain and grass is the king.
Yes, both Ideal and Tucki hope to complete this issue under such a banner. ?
Ideal use of additional funds: 1, to develop a new generation of electric vehicle technology, including high-voltage platform, high charge-discharge rate battery and ultra-fast charging; 2. The next BEV (battery? Electric? Vehicle) platform and the development of future models; 3. Research and development of autonomous driving technology and solutions.
Use of additional funds in Tucki: 1, intelligent electric vehicle, software and hardware, and data research and development technology; 2. Sales and marketing, expanding sales and service channels and super charging network, and expanding the international market; 3. Potential strategic investment in the core technology of intelligent electric vehicles; 4. General corporate purposes, including working capital requirements. ?
Why do you say that such a fundraising environment may no longer exist? The following are the potential risks that may exist in the stock price of the new forces that build cars:
1, the US stock market is at a high level. What will happen after the new President Biden takes office? Will it affect the stock price trend of new energy vehicles including Tesla, Weilai, Ideality and Tucki? After all, all financial models such as sales volume, revenue scale and growth rate are invalid;
2. Ideal and Tucki must face the pressure of lifting the ban. For VC, looking at such a high book return multiple, it is king to quickly cash out the return of LP. Once hesitant, things like Wei Lai plummeted from more than 6 to more than 1, and GP could not explain to LP; ?
3. The problem of sales fraud in Tucki is fermenting, and the problems of ideal broken shaft quality and automatic driving function are fermenting. These are their own problems. Once enlarged, it may lead to selling, or even a class action lawsuit of investors, which may ruin the present excellent situation; ?
202 1, the new car-making forces will encounter more challenges. Fortunately, in 2020, an unexpected epidemic will lead to a large amount of water release by central banks, which will push up Tesla's share price, so that Weilai, Ideality, Tucki, Weimar, etc. will receive a lot of financial support and reserve enough cash. ?
But the challenges in the future will be even greater, and the core competitiveness may be greatly adjusted. Enterprises that have not accumulated core competitiveness may fall behind in the new round of competition. This is why Weilai wants to make chips and recruit Shao Qing to lead NIO. Pilot development; Ideally, CTO Wang Kai should be invited to fully preside over technology research and development; Tucki has also invested more resources in XPilot.
In the following days, the challenges faced by the new forces of making cars include:
1, Tesla model? Y's strong listing, the favorite SUV model of Chinese people, is also a new force in making cars at present, including Weilai, Ideality, Tucki, Weimar and other models, which will meet the most powerful competitors;
2. Volkswagen MEB, according to Volkswagen's plan, has invested more pure electric vehicles in China since 20021,and vw.os has gained a lot of resources, but if these software and services are not supported by localization, Volkswagen may really lose the China market, but the thin camel is bigger than the horse;
3. The challenge of BYD, which has strong independent research and development ability, BYD has developed blade battery technology, and it is necessary to invest resources in the field of autonomous driving, including chip manufacturing, autonomous driving algorithm and service provision. BYD's investment in technology should not be underestimated. The growth of its share price this year also reflects the market expectation; ?
4. The challenge of traditional car companies+technology companies, SAIC+ Ali's smart car, BAIC's ARCFOX Huawei, Changan+Huawei's high-end brand. These cooperative car companies will be listed on 202 1, which may stir up a pool of spring water; ?
5. Will Huawei build a car in three years? The answer is almost beyond doubt. And whether Apple can build a car. Although Apple has just adjusted the head of the automobile business and has been exposed by the media to build a supply chain, it is expected to launch Apple in 2024-2025. Car, this time may be synchronized with Huawei. With Apple's ability, once it is released, it will be a breakthrough!
Finally, whether Tesla's market value will reach $65,438+0 trillion. As far as the current share price is concerned, as long as Tesla's share price reaches $65,438 +0.055, the market value is $65,438 +0 trillion. In contrast, the increase is 50%. Tesla is crazy and won't be used for a month, but will it happen? ?
If Tesla breaks through 1 trillion dollars and Weilai's market value breaks through 1 trillion dollars, it depends more on market sentiment. Yes, it is the speculation of funds, because any fundamentals are not enough to support, including Tesla.
If Tesla's market value is $65,438 +0 trillion, will it be the biggest capital bubble in history, or the beginning of Tesla's market value of $65,438 +0 trillion? !
This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.