1. 1 background
In 2006, the United States launched an all-out war against an "evil country" in the Middle East, with the aim of overthrowing its "terrorism-supporting" government and eliminating the "evil root of terrorism" in the Middle East. At the same time, control the country's rich oil resources, and finally completely control the oil resources in the Middle East.
After the start of the Middle East War in the United States, it quickly became the focus of news media in other parts of the world, and people talked about it after dinner. Most people think that the Middle East War is another "blockbuster" broadcast live by CNN. There is no doubt that the American army will win soon. At the beginning of the war, the United States has discussed the composition of the interim government of the country after the war. .....
However, this time, it seems that God didn't take care of America that much. The fighting capacity of the "evil country" exceeded people's imagination, and the first stage of air strikes in the United States started badly. "Zero casualties" has become history, and the loss of fighters is very heavy. After 30 days of air strikes, the United States lost more than 200 aircraft of various types.
While the air strikes were frustrated, American military bases in the Middle East were attacked by more than 300 ballistic missiles from "evil countries", killing more than 3,000 American troops and injuring more than 8,000 others. To make matters worse, American air strikes have not destroyed the country's ballistic missile production capacity, and the country is still producing ballistic missiles.
The six aircraft carrier battle groups of the United States in the Persian Gulf are constantly attacked by "evil country" submarines and "suicide submarines". The American fleet sank most of the submarines, but in the end, a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier and a amphibious assault ship were attacked by "suicide submarines", killing 800 sailors. The country's shore-launched anti-ship missiles hit several American ships, while ten American ships were sunk or injured by intelligent mines arranged by submarines, and the result exceeded 1000.
After more than 30 days of air strikes, although the US military suffered heavy losses, it is convinced that it has destroyed most of the country's nuclear facilities, infrastructure and industrial strength, and the heavy equipment of the country's army has also suffered huge losses; In addition, American intelligence agencies believe that the domestic opposition is planning an "uprising" to overthrow the government, and once American ground troops enter the country, ordinary people will "rise up" and repeat the scene of overthrowing Saddam Hussein's regime in Iraq in 2003.
Six American heavy divisions and two light divisions set out from Iraq to launch a ground attack on Iraq. They broke into the country from two directions. The armored units of five divisions and 10 infantry divisions deployed behind the border defense line were defeated by the US military under the air raid, but the new anti-tank missiles and anti-aircraft missiles they equipped caused the US ground forces to lose more than 400 tanks and armored infantry vehicles. More than 65,438+000 helicopters were shot down. The remaining troops on the border of the country and more than 20 thousand "self-original troops" from Arab countries retreated to a city to fight street battles with the US military. After more than 20 days of fighting, American troops captured the city.
The U.S. military has achieved initial victory in tactics, but it has become a political disaster at home. In the ground war, more than 5,000 Americans died, causing 200,000 civilian casualties. Television stations all over the world broadcast this tragic battle. More than 10,000 people died in the Middle East War in the United States, and domestic anti-war sentiment was high. The international voice against this war is getting louder and louder.
There have been terrorist attacks in Europe, Australia and the United States. The uprising originally estimated by American intelligence agencies does not seem to have happened. On the contrary, the country's political power seems to have been consolidated during the war. The latest information shows that the country has received the full support of some big countries in the north and east, and a large number of military weapons are constantly arriving every day. The country still has 30 intact divisions, enough anti-aircraft missiles and some air forces, and there is no sign of exhaustion of war resources.
Because of fear of terrorist attacks, the United States was unable to end the war as soon as possible, the global stock market and foreign exchange market were violently turbulent, the American economy was in trouble, the stock market crashed, and a large number of enterprises closed down. Thousands of people join the ranks of the unemployed every day.
Faced with this dilemma, the president of the United States had to announce his withdrawal from the country at the end of 2006; At the same time, in order to reduce the astronomical budget deficit, we made a decision that shocked the world-withdrawing American troops from East Asia and closing military bases in Japan and South Korea!
2. 1 Attack Southeast Asia
In February 2007, the US military began to withdraw from its bases in Japan and South Korea and handed them over to the host countries. The withdrawal of American troops was completed in June. Many international observers believe that although the United States withdraws its troops, it will not easily lose its influence in the region. At the same time, the right-wing forces in Japan are on the rise, and public opinion calls on the Japanese government to consider filling the "East Asian military vacuum" after the withdrawal of US troops. American politicians openly call Japan "an important force to defend the free world." .
Obviously, Japan wanted to fill the "vacuum" after the withdrawal of American troops from East Asia, and stepped up its political, military and economic penetration into Southeast Asia, which made China feel keen.
In August 2007, Japanese Prime Minister visited four Southeast Asian countries-Philippines, Indonesia, Singapore and Malaysia. This diplomatic activity was called yen diplomacy by the Japanese media, and Japan provided 20 billion US dollars in aid and low-interest loans to the Philippines and Indonesia. In the Philippines, the Japanese Prime Minister and the Philippine President attended the groundbreaking ceremony for the expansion and renewal of Clark Port. When asked by a reporter whether Japan would consider stationing troops in the Philippines, the Japanese Prime Minister just smiled. Afterwards, China reported this situation to Beijing on Manila's information network: the expansion project of Clark Port was all contracted by Japanese companies, and many engineers and technicians came from the Japanese navy. At the same time, the Japanese engineering team is building an airport in the Philippines. Many technicians are from the engineering department of the Japanese Air Force, probably a large air base.
The Japanese Prime Minister was warmly welcomed by Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong in Singapore. He said that after the withdrawal of the United States from East Asia, Singapore welcomed Japan as a new balancing force to enter the region. Singapore officials also said that their ports are very suitable for warships to station.
In May 2008, Japan and the Philippines signed the Defense Treaty, according to which Japan stationed troops in the Philippines to ensure the security of the Philippines.
After the Japanese Prime Minister's visit to four countries in Southeast Asia, from June 5438 to October 2007/KLOC-0, China president visited Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Myanmar, Thailand and China, and signed the latest trade integration agreements with these five countries, providing them with 8 billion dollars of free aid and low-interest loans; China acquiesced in Vietnam's oil platforms in the South China Sea and signed an arms export contract with Vietnam. Viet Nam agreed that China should establish air bases and naval bases in Da Nang in the central part and Cam Ranh Bay in the south.
After receiving the political support from the United States, Japan began to rearm, especially strengthening the construction of the air force and navy. Japan's military industry, which has been sleeping for decades, has gradually awakened with the help of the United States, and Japan's huge industrial production capacity has become a solid backing for its expansion.
Japan bought 300 JSF fighter jets from the United States. JSF is a new generation of multi-role fighter produced by Lockheed Martin for the air force and navy. The US military, officially numbered F-35, was the main fighter in the early 20th century. .
In June 2007, with the technical support of the United States, Japan's first aircraft carrier was started, with a displacement of 60,000 tons, carrying 60 JSF fighters and 4 E-2J early warning aircraft. In fiscal year 2007, the Japanese parliament increased its shipbuilding plan, and started construction of eight destroyers, six frigates and four conventional submarines throughout the year. At the same time, it allocated funds for the development of nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missiles.
In July 2008, Japanese soldiers entered the Philippines and began to deploy Patriot 3 air defense missiles and anti-ship missiles in the Philippines.
165438+ 10 In October, Japan test-fired a self-developed "Sakura" cruise missile. At the same time, Japan's latest Fuji-class guided missile cruiser was launched with a displacement of10.6 million tons, equipped with a new phased array radar developed by Japan, four sets of MK 4 1 6 1 unit missile vertical launch systems, and carried 244 missiles of various types.
In 2008, Japan began to build two cruisers, eight destroyers, four frigates, two aircraft carriers and six conventional submarines.
China feels threatened by Japanese large-scale armament construction. In order to cope with the pressure of Japanese military construction, China has to continue to speed up its military construction. In 2007, China's defense budget increased by 50%, which was mainly used to increase naval and air force equipment. In that year, China began to build four destroyer boats, four frigates, three conventional submarines and 1 attack nuclear submarines.
In 2008, China's defense budget increased by 30%. In 2008, the construction of 1 aircraft carrier, 2 052D destroyers, 4 destroyers of other types, 4 frigates, 4 conventional submarines and 2 nuclear submarines began. All kinds of weapons have developed to an accelerated state.
In February 2008, China began to build the first aircraft carrier with a displacement of 60,000 tons, carrying 50 J- 10B naval fighters.
In May, the latest large destroyer "Lvyang" class (052D) was launched, with a displacement of 1 1000 tons. It was equipped with a new phased array radar and a new air defense missile, as well as an Eagle Strike-12A supersonic anti-ship missile with a range of 400 kilometers.
In June+10/October, 5438, China flew the J-1C (J-11C) fighter, which was completely improved on the basis of the Russian Su -27SMK fighter. Mainly used against Japanese F- 15JM fighters. It is also equipped with phased array radar and advanced airborne electronic equipment. At the same time, the aircraft body is improved and advanced stealth materials are adopted to improve its maneuverability and stealth ability. The aircraft is equipped with a thrust vector engine nozzle. However, due to the adoption of many new technologies, the machine is too expensive and difficult to maintain.
The arms race between China and Japan mostly uses products provided by domestic industries. In a short time, huge military orders stimulated the economy. Both the emerging electronic information industry and the traditional steel machinery industry are becoming more and more popular. A large number of unemployed people entered military factories, and the unemployment rate in both countries dropped sharply. In a short period of time, the society has experienced unprecedented prosperity, and the whole people applaud the national leaders. Large enterprises in both countries have become the biggest beneficiaries. The media, which depend on the survival of enterprises, have played a role in fueling the arms race, hyping each other's threats.
Occasionally, the two countries have different voices that the endless arms race will plunge the two countries into a quagmire, but they are all ridiculed by the mainstream Japanese media. Opponents in Japan are also threatened by right-wing forces. Domestic opponents are criticized as "traitors" and "traitors". Both China and Japan are in a state of madness, and the headlines of mainstream media every day are either the launch of their new warships, the experiment of new weapons, or the experiment of new weapons in the other country.
People ushered in the 2009 New Year with enthusiasm.
On February 6, 2009, the Japanese base in the Philippines was completed, and 100 F- 15EJ, F- 15JM fighters of Japan's Third Air Wing flew to the Philippines from Naha Air Force Base. At the same time, the second detachment of the joint fleet 12 destroyer set sail from Sasebo Naval Base for Clark Military Port. Japanese media said that this day will be a day when Japan will return to the world power and go down in history. Thousands of Japanese right-wingers gathered outside Naha Air Force Base and Sasebo Naval Base. Most of them wore the uniforms of the old Japanese navy and army during World War II, and put up the banner of "Return to Southeast Asia, Greater East Asia". The meeting was filmed by reporters and broadcast around the world, causing strong anti-Japanese sentiment in China, and anti-Japanese demonstrations appeared in major cities in China.
China's domestic anti-Japanese demonstrations were out of control in some cities, and Japanese companies were smashed; Chinese communities in China and Japanese enterprises in Japan have also been attacked by the right wing, and the relationship between the people and the government of the two countries has further deteriorated.
In May 2009, China's military base in Myanmar was completed, and 24 JH-7A attack planes were stationed at the base. At the same time, an oil pipeline was laid from Myanmar port to Yunnan, China. In August, China was built in the Vietnamese air force and naval base, and 50 Su-30MK2s were stationed in the air base. Four destroyers and four frigates were stationed at the naval base. At the same time, China tested a newer cruise missile, which is four times the speed of sound and has a range of 2,500 kilometers.
In September 2009, Japan's first aircraft carrier "Yamato" entered the service and announced the successful development of cruise missiles. Deployed in large quantities at the end of the year. 165438+ 10 month. Seismological stations around the world detected a 6.5-magnitude earthquake on the east coast of Japan, and then Japan announced that it had conducted an underwater nuclear test. Japanese media said that Japan would no longer be afraid of China's nuclear weapons. At the same time, Japan began to design nuclear submarines.
In 2009, the arms race between the two countries entered a white-hot stage. This year, Japan began to build three aircraft carriers, four cruisers, 10 destroyers, eight frigates and 10 conventional submarines.
China, on the other hand, concentrated on building nuclear submarines and aircraft, and started construction of 1 aircraft carrier, four 052D destroyers, six other destroyers, eight frigates, six conventional submarines and four nuclear submarines throughout the year.
3. 1 Washington negotiations
Time soon entered 20 10, and people all over the world found that in just three years, the second and third naval powers appeared in East Asia, and the arms race between the two sides showed no signs of slowing down.
In February, a large-scale military transport aircraft developed by China began to be put into service and mass-produced. The aircraft is improved on the basis of Russian Il -76, with a payload of 55 tons, and can be converted into an aerial tanker, an early warning aircraft and an electronic fighter platform.
In March, the new 093C attack nuclear submarine was put into service. It is said that the performance of the submarine is close to the "sea wolf" class of the United States. However, due to the high cost and the adoption of too many new technologies, the key components cannot be mass-produced. China produces Type 093B nuclear submarine as the main nuclear submarine. At the same time, China began to produce upgraded meta-class conventional submarines, adopting AIP technology and refitting sonar and fire control system, which can carry more advanced anti-submarine and anti-ship weapons.
In April, China's first aircraft carrier joined the naval sequence, and J- 10B fighters were in service at the same time. The ship was produced in full accordance with the wartime system, and it took only two and a half years from construction to service.
In April, Japan's second aircraft carrier "Chicheng" entered service. At the same time, Japan announced that it had made progress in the miniaturization of nuclear weapons and test-fired a cruise missile with a nuclear warhead, which hit an uninhabited island in the Pacific Ocean. Japan's latest "Nuchao" class conventional submarine entered the service, claiming to be the most technologically advanced conventional submarine in the world, and its performance is comparable to that of nuclear submarines. The Japanese nuclear submarine has completed the drawing work.
The East Asian arms race and Japan's nuclear armament have attracted worldwide attention. 20 10 in may, under the mediation of the United States, China and Japan held arms limitation negotiations in Washington. Due to mutual distrust, the talks almost turned into quarrels.
During the negotiations, China proposed that the two sides stop building new warships for one year, which was rejected by Japan; Japan proposed that the two sides stop manufacturing all weapons for one year, which was rejected by China; The United States proposed that China and Japan stop the production of nuclear weapons, which was rejected by both sides. The United States also proposed that China and Japan withdraw their military bases in Southeast Asia at the same time, which was rejected by both sides.
In the end, the negotiations only reached an agreement: no first use of nuclear weapons and no first attack on the other country's territory (excluding overseas military bases).
The fruitless negotiations in Washington greatly humiliated the United States, which was considered unable to control the situation in East Asia, and Japan no longer obeyed the United States. After the Washington negotiations, there was a rift in Japan-US relations. Japan bought the second batch of JSF fighters from the United States, but the United States refused. At the same time, the United States began to restrict domestic companies from transferring advanced military technology to Japan. In response to the attitude of the United States, the head of Japan's defense agency told the media that the United States and Japan are partners, but Japan will rely on its own technology to equip its troops. In June, Japan's new F-3 aircraft made a test flight. This plane is an imitation of JSF, and its main components are made in Japan. However, there are still some technical problems to be solved, so it is impossible to equip the troops immediately. Japan
The trade war between the United States and Japan has rekindled, the United States has erected trade barriers against Japanese cars, and Japanese products have encountered difficulties in the North American market. Japanese high-level officials began to reassess their international environment. The think tank gave the Prime Minister the opinion that if Japan wants to become a world power again, the contradiction with the United States and China is inevitable; If Japan wants to become a world power on an equal footing with the United States and other countries, it must have its own stable rear. Both China, Russia and the United States have their own vast territory and sufficient strategic depth, and Japan is very small. Only Japan controls the western Pacific and Southeast Asia, and controls the rich energy-producing areas. Japan will no longer be subject to other countries and become a real power. At this time, no one dares to compare with Japan. While controlling Southeast Asia, Japan should try its best to use economic means to assist its powerful military strength, sign military agreements with local countries, and station troops in that country; Avoid a full-scale war with China, but if necessary, we can engage in a local air and sea war to weaken China's influence in Southeast Asia, so that the Japanese can finally completely control Southeast Asia.
3.3 Far East Crisis
In the Russian Far East, since the 1990s, many China people have gone to live, some of them are engaged in business and some are exporting labor services. Many people intermarry with local Russians and settle down, but still maintain their own culture and living habits; Local people are far less diligent than immigrants from China, and many jobs have been taken away by immigrants from China. At the same time, more and more goods from China appear in the local market. In recent years, the economic development in the Russian Far East has been slow, and people's dissatisfaction has become increasingly strong. Russian neo-Nazis made waves in this respect, provoked racial antagonism, blamed the local economic depression on China immigrants, and thought that China was "infiltrating" Russia. A neo-Nazi openly said: The people of China are invading our country. Look, there are more and more China faces around. In a few decades, there will be China people's faces here. They will elect the governor of China and drive us back to Europe. There are only 30 million people in the Far East of China, and there are 300 million people in one street!
There are more and more anti-China activities in the Russian Far East. After these anti-China activities were reported by reporters in China, they caused strong repercussions in China. The media criticized the Russian local government for failing to crack down on neo-Nazis. At the same time, they also reviewed the atrocities committed by Soviet troops in northeast China in 1945. Many materials are published for the first time. Anti-Russian sentiment began to spread in China, and some radical youths claimed to recapture 65438 ceded by Russia from China in the19th century.
China's growing national strength in recent years and the large-scale expansion of naval and air armaments have also made Russia more and more wary of China. China's naval and air forces have completely surpassed those of Russia. Russian began to restrict the export of military technology to China. In fact, with the strengthening of China's scientific and technological strength, China's weapons products began to seize the Russian product market in the world.