Centennial is a big historical concept in essence, which refers to a relatively long historical period that is undergoing great changes. The "big" and "change" of this great change, specifically, is that the center of gravity of the world economy is changing: the original economic center was on both sides of the Atlantic, and now the economic center is shifting to both sides of the Pacific.
The world political pattern is also quietly undergoing major changes: the traditional pattern of G7 dominating the world is changing, and the influence exerted by G20 is greater, wider and more profound. The process of globalization is also undergoing major changes: some countries have left the bloc and Europe, and anti-globalization phenomena have begun to appear frequently.
Great changes focus on "big" and "change". The emergence of a new wave of scientific and technological revolution has also spawned many new industries, and this change has not happened for a long time. In particular, the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic has triggered a change in the world pattern, and now it has a far-reaching impact on the world economy, which is likely to affect the process of globalization and the changes in the world political pattern.
social influence
From 20 17 to the first half of 200211, the academic circles have made some research on "the once-in-a-century great change". Generally speaking, the research field is expanding, the research level is deepening, and the direction of discipline and specialization is strengthening, which lays the foundation for further in-depth research in the future.
First, there are many macro-studies and few micro-studies. Looking at the research on "Great Changes in the Hundred Years" in China domestic academic circles, we can see that most of the research analyzes the "change" of "Great Changes in the Hundred Years" from the fields of international relations and world structure.
Instead of combining "change" with specific disciplines, we discuss the influence of "change" on specific objects. This also shows from the side that most of the research is theoretical and there are few targeted empirical research results.
Second, there are more studies on deconstruction and less on construction. Most studies throw out the influence of the "great changes in the past century" and explain the problems that China needs to deal with in the "great changes", but there are few solutions based on deep-seated reasons, and it is impossible to clarify the future direction by discussing the reasons for the changes.