Label: word prosperity 1888 stock market
Classification: technical analysis
MACD summary
I am looking at an indicator MACD in stock trading, each with its own taste and taste, and I can grasp it myself.
MACD essence:
The essence of MACD is eight words: buy small and sell small, and be timid. The little finger refers to the pile of red and green columns, and the shrinking foot refers to the length of the red and green columns. When the stock price is getting higher and higher, on the contrary, the pile number of red columns is getting smaller and smaller, which proves that there is a top deviation phenomenon and should be sold in time; When the stock price is getting lower and lower, piles of green columns are smaller than piles, which proves that there is a bottom deviation and should be bought. Buy some when the green pile is young, each one is shorter than the other, that is to say, buy it when the feet shrink. When the red pile is small and the red column is shorter than the other side, it is called shrinking sale.
Here "big" and "small" refer to the big green column, small green column, big red column and small red column of MACD. In operation, we generally ignore the two white and yellow curves of DIF and MACD in the figure, and we only pay attention to the changes of red and green columns.
MACD summary
One, on the 0 axis
1.DIF crosses axis 0-climbs on red soil.
2. On the 0-axis-red is on the zero, do more.
3. A gold fork-red gold fork on zero-resolutely do more.
4. The second-level gold fork-the second-level zero red gold fork-is more determined to do more.
The gold fork on the 5.0 axis-water gold fork is not easy to use in the middle and late stage of the 2+3 system!
On the 6.0 axis, the golden fork-the golden fork at the back is used to do more.
7.0 dead fork on the axis-combine three dead forks to see the top sell.
8.MACD deviates from the stock price.
A good floating golden fork must appear in a junior high school with a wave of rising prices, that is, a junior high school with a one-leaf market, that is, a junior high school with our 2+3 system, and the later one is not good. To judge whether it is junior high school or later stage, we should comprehensively judge whether it is wavelength, quantity, MACD innovation, lumped theory, or external conditions, such as the fundamentals of individual stocks and the overall situation of the index. We try to buy 2+3 innovative floating gold forks in junior high school.
Second, under the 0 axis
1.DIF falls below the 0 axis-falls into the green ocean-is ready to sell-holds the currency range.
2. Below the 0 axis-green below zero.
3. A dead fork-a green dead fork.
4. The second dead fork-the second green dead fork below zero-is more certain to be empty.
5.0 Under-axis dead fork-underwater dead fork sinks fast-empty.
6.0 golden fork under the shaft-underwater golden fork is easy to get wet-wait and see.
7.MACD and stock price-bottom deviation
8. If you die underwater, the speed of sinking ships is usually very fast. Why?
This is because underwater market makers have generally finished shipping, even if they have not finished shipping, there are only a few chips left to smash the plate. At this time, the market will be dominated by retail investors. How much power do retail investors have? Therefore, when there is an underwater golden fork, it is often impossible to launch an upswing market, and once there is an underwater dead fork, it can also fall in the free fall of the market share price, not to mention all kinds of small and medium-sized retail investors and rebounders, and even bookmakers may smash the market with the surplus goods in their hands. Under the action of so many forces, of course, it often sinks quickly.
Therefore, whenever there is an underwater golden fork, don't get excited, but when there is an underwater dead fork, you must hurry and find a suitable point to go out, otherwise it may be plunged!
At the end of the long-term decline, we hope that the MACD indicator will show an upward trend at the bottom. If we can deviate from the stock price, it is possible to build the bottom of an intermediate market. Of course, this needs to be combined with the comprehensive judgment of volume, index and even the fundamentals of individual stocks. Therefore, when a stock deviates from the bottom at the end of the decline, if it is accidentally caught in the early rebound, then don't cut the meat until you see the situation clearly. But for friends with short positions, we don't recommend you to buy them immediately, unless the index deviates from the bottom, and you are stuck in a strong stock that has climbed the 2+3 range. That's another matter. What we are saying is that if a stock deviates from the bottom, let's observe it. At this time, we will repeatedly tell ourselves not to waste time and opportunity cost because of piling with the dealer.
Third, some discipline.
MACD is short below zero, long below zero, determined to be long below zero, and determined to be long below the second zero.
MACD is long at zero, short below zero, negative green fork is resolutely short, and negative green fork is resolutely short twice.
Summary: Beware of the underwater golden fork. Although there is an underwater gold fork before the rising market starts, which is the lowest range of the stock price, it is still risky, because the underwater gold fork is easy to get wet, and we have to wear the zero axis on the DIF. As the saying goes, after climbing the red land, we will find a suitable buying point. This buying point is the red gold fork on the zero!
However, we know that among the three speeds of stock price rise, only the last one has the steepest speed and angle, and that wave is the most profitable interval, which can be realized in a short time. Of course, it is also the interval of stock price top. It would be good if we can buy in the accelerated inflection point interval, so we use the red cross on the second zero to find this inflection point.
The underwater gold fork before the rise is generally the first rising speed, and the red gold fork above zero generally makes the stock price enter the second rising speed. Only two red gold forks above zero can make the stock price enter the third rising speed! This is like launching a rocket. It consumes the most energy when starting, but it rises the slowest. Another ignition after starting is the booster stage, and the rising speed is accelerated again. Finally, when entering the third stage ignition, the rocket has the fastest speed, but consumes the least energy. This second zero-crossing red gold fork is similar to the third ignition of the rocket.
The golden fork goes in and the dead fork comes out.
When the golden fork goes in, it always thinks of the dead fork.
First, the relationship between MACD red and green column and stock price rise and fall:
MACD is the embodiment of long and short strength, which has high practical value in practical operation, and can help us to throw high and suck low, and step on the pulse of the subject's heartbeat. This indicator is ignored in practical use. Now, let's tidy up. I hope everyone will actively discuss it.
1 red column shortening: the stock price will be adjusted back soon, and the corresponding strategy is high selling. What it means is that many forces are declining. Although the empty side has not yet occupied a dominant position, with the weakening of many parties, the strength of the empty side will be enhanced, and it is wise to wait and see. Disadvantages: false signals often appear, and the red column is elongated again, once again entering a strong market.
2 red column lengthening: the stock price will continue to rise, and the corresponding strategy is holding. It means that the strength of many parties is strengthening, and the air side has no strength to fight back.
3 green column lengthening: the stock price will continue to fall, and the corresponding strategy is short position. Its meaning is that the strength of the air side is strengthening, and many parties have no strength to fight back.
4 green column shortening: the stock price has stopped falling and stabilized. The corresponding strategy is that the mid-line funds are low-sucking and can generally be bought at a relatively low level. Disadvantages: false signals often appear, and the green column is elongated again, once again entering the falling market. Corresponding strategies to break the previous low stop loss.
5 The red column turns to the green column = enters the short market, and the later trend is mainly down.
6 green column to red column = enter the bull market, and the trend in the later period is mainly up.
7 When MACD is still a green column, and the green column is getting shorter every day, and it is about to become a red column, buy it. When the red column has not come out and the green column has shrunk almost, it means that when the empty side has no strength to fight back, it is easy to attack this stock in many ways.
In order to filter false signals, MACD must see whether the previous ups and downs meet the conditions and have the correct signals to operate. At the same time, it must be clear that the amount of this adjustment can be reduced, and it is best to basically arrange it in a small range.
Take the contraction and elongation of red and green columns on MACD indicator as the basis of band trading, and verify the stocks held or sold in hand. The high and low points of the band are clear at a glance.
MACD indicator gold fork must match the moving average gold fork and the moving average gold fork, which is the so-called three-line flowering. The three indicators must be effective at the same time to be a real market. Generally, a single gold fork is mostly cheating. At the same time, it must be noted that the MACD indicator is better near the 0 axis, especially the two golden forks. The short period of MACD obeys the long period, and the usage methods are nothing more than deviation, cooperation and * *. Don't be a stock with frequent gold forks.
Second, MACD-moving average converges and diverges.
MACD, also known as exponential dispersion index, is a further development of the moving average principle. This technical analysis tool was created by Chalar draper in 197 1, and it has been well received by stock market investors. The principle of MACD is to use the symptoms of short-term (fast) and long-term (slow) moving averages to perform double smoothing operation to judge the trading opportunity, which has great practical significance in the stock market. According to the characteristics of EMA, the distance between short-term EMA and long-term EMA will be farther and farther in the continuous upward trend, and the deviation between them will be bigger and bigger. If the upward trend tends to be slow, the distance between the two will inevitably narrow, or even cross each other, sending a selling signal. Similarly, in the continuous decline, the short line is below the long line, and the distance between the two is getting farther and farther.
Principles of use:
1. When DIF breaks through MACD upwards, it is a buy signal, and when DIF falls below MACD downwards, it is a sell signal.
2. When the DIF and MACD are above the 0-axis, the market is often a bull market, and when they are below the 0-axis, they should take profit. When the DIF and MACD are below the 0-axis, the strategy of entering the market should be mainly selling. If DIF falls below MACD, it can break upward, and short positions should be temporarily closed.
3. When the stock price is in a long position, for example, DIF is far from MACD, which leads to an increase in the deviation rate between the two lines, and the bulls will close their positions in batches.
4. When the stock price or index is consolidating, DIF and MACD often cross and can be ignored. Only when the deviation rate increases can it be regarded as a breakthrough in the consolidation situation.
5. Whether from the intersection of "differential deviation value" or from "differential deviation value column line", the use value of deviation signal can be found. The so-called "deviation" means that the head higher than 1 appears on the K-line chart or other bar charts and histograms, while the head lower than 1 appears on the MACD chart; On the contrary, on the K-line chart or other graphs, the bottom is lower than the bottom, but on the MACD chart, the bottom is higher than the bottom. When these two deviations occur, the former is generally a downward signal and the latter is an upward signal.
Third, defects:
1. Because MACD is a long-term indicator, the difference between buying and selling points and the highest and lowest prices is very large. When the market fluctuates or consolidates, buying and selling signals will be too frequent.
2. When there is a sharp rise and fall, the MACD is too late to reflect and the signal lags behind. Note on actual use: (It must be in line with the moving average of stock price)
(1) When the DIF and MACD are below the 0-axis, the golden fork is a rebound market, and the expected value cannot be high when participating. Only by breaking through the 0 axis can it evolve into a bull market.
(2) When the DIF and MACD are above the 0-axis, it is a bull market. When the moving average is safe, you can intervene on dips. When MACD forms a double bottom of two gold forks on the 0 axis, the signal is relatively pure.
(3) The stock price is sideways, and the MACD indicator has not broken the 0-axis downward, which means that the dishwashing is heavy again, and Changyang can intervene on the first day.
(4) The immortal fork behind the 0-axis golden fork and the fast golden fork behind the dead fork are the last madness in actual combat, fast forward and fast out.
(5) If the MACD indicator is used as the buying method, you can choose the 30-minute indicator and the 60-minute indicator, and ask the daily indicator to fluctuate.
(6) The gold fork after long-term dead fork has high reliability. You can wait patiently for the stock price to cross back to the short-term moving average. Hey, turtle state
(7)MACD indicator is generally the most effective when the golden cross, the average price line and the moving average occur at the same time, and it is not easy to cheat, that is, the so-called three-line flowering requires increasing the opening at the same time. The probability of its success will multiply, and it is very dangerous to rely on a single MACD gold fork as a trading signal. If the decline slows down, the distance between the two will also narrow and eventually cross the buy signal.