Open the website of "Livable City Laboratory". According to the website, "Livable City Research Office" is a leading research institution for livable cities in China, aiming to help users understand the livable environment in China.
What kind of research institution is this?
Because the website can't find its organizer and contact information, we also tried to call 1 14 in Guangzhou, Beijing and Shanghai, but we couldn't find any contact information of the research room, only in the webpage record of a radio station interviewing experts of "livable city research room" recorded on the website.
According to the homepage of livable city research office website, the statistical basis of ranking is: 1. Data published by official statistics; 2. Field research; 3. Sampling statistics of representative buildings. However, experts interviewed by the radio said that the release of the price list is mainly to provide a reference for industry personnel and property buyers. The main sources of its data include official data published by local governments and sampling statistics of new buildings. Some cities use official data when they are transparent, some places may not publish them, or they think there are unreasonable places, so they conduct sampling statistics on local new buildings, and the statistical samples range from 10-50. ripple
A few days ago, a "20 10 China City Housing Price Ranking" quickly became popular on the Internet. It is widely rumored in various websites and forums that "20 10 China City Housing Price Ranking" was recently announced in Hangzhou, and Hangzhou's housing price jumped to the top, followed by Beijing. Hangzhou housing prices actually exceed Beijing? This triggered a "war of words" about housing prices. This "controversy upsurge" is in sharp contrast to the "cold current" encountered by Hangzhou property market during the National Day holiday just past. It is understood that the ranking was released by a company called "Livable City Research Office". The average house price in Hangzhou released by this institution is 65438+ 16360 yuan/square meter. Why did you suddenly jump to 25840 yuan/square meter? The increase has actually reached 58%! Then, since April 20 10, the new property market policy labeled as "the strictest regulation in history" has not "cooled down" the high-temperature property market in Hangzhou, but "ignited" the property market price. This is obviously contrary to common sense.
So, what kind of research institution is the "Livable City Research Office"? How is the house price ranking calculated? How to get the data source? Is Hangzhou's housing price really so lucky to surpass Beijing, Shanghai and other first-tier cities to win the "laurel"? According to industry insiders, this set of data is a bit sensational.
How to arouse people's attention to the trend of housing prices in first-and second-tier cities across the country due to repeated property market policies. House price is a sensitive topic in the current property market. Although the authority and credibility of the "house price list" published by this non-governmental organization have been questioned, it has also caused many controversies.
"It is an indisputable fact that housing prices in cities such as Beijing and Shanghai are much higher than those in Hangzhou. For example, Xixi Butterfly Garden, which is well decorated, only needs about 26,000 yuan per square meter; Ding Qiao, which is near the city in the north, costs about 13000 yuan per square meter; The eastern area of Xiasha is about 13000 yuan-15000 yuan per square meter. But the house price in Hangzhou ranks first in this ranking. I think the reason is that the housing prices in Shanghai and Beijing include the average prices of all administrative regions; Hangzhou is different. I estimate that the housing prices in Hangzhou mentioned in the ranking are only those in the main city, excluding Xiaoshan and Yuhang. For example, in September, the average transaction price of commercial housing in Hangzhou (including Xiaoshan and Yuhang) was 17846 yuan/square meter, while the price in downtown Hangzhou was 233 17 yuan/square meter. The prices of goods in Hangzhou, including Xiaoshan and Yuhang, are significantly lower than those excluding these two places. " An industry insider analyzed.
"The accuracy of this set of data sources is worthy of scrutiny, and the objectivity of market research is questionable." Ma Jie, general manager of Zhejiang Kewei International Real Estate, believes that "it is understandable to say that Hangzhou's housing prices have grown too fast in a certain period of time, but it is a bit sensational to say that it has surpassed first-tier cities such as Beijing and Shanghai, ranking first in the country. Hangzhou's housing prices are between first-tier cities and second-tier cities, and it is impossible to surpass first-tier cities such as Beijing and Shanghai. Moreover, from the current point of view, the housing price in Hangzhou is reasonable compared with first-tier cities and second-and third-tier cities such as Taizhou, Wenzhou and Lishui. Take Wenzhou as an example. There are not many houses below 20,000 yuan per square meter, and a house costs four or five million at a time. Therefore, the high housing prices in Wenzhou also make Wenzhou people like to buy a house in Hangzhou, because houses in Hangzhou are indeed cheaper than those in Wenzhou, with 21,000 square meters of houses everywhere. What's more, Hangzhou is a provincial capital city, and its environment, supporting facilities and urban planning are obviously superior to those of second-and third-tier cities. From this perspective, I think the data obtained by comparing the houses of the same level and matching cities at the same time is credible, otherwise it will be difficult to convince. " Moreover, the data during the period were incomplete, and many cities were not included in the assessment. For example, in Lishui, Zhejiang, at the end of the year, the transaction price of new sites was 20 1 1000 yuan per square meter, and the average price of second-hand houses was close to 10000 yuan per square meter, and there was still an upward trend. The price of the newly opened Greentown is as high as per square meter 14000 yuan. There are other similar cities with high housing prices, but they can't be seen in the rankings. It can be seen that the ranking order in the leaderboard is biased. House price ranking data is diverse.
Experts who released the "20 10 China City Housing Price Ranking" said: The data are diverse because there are no relevant control measures.
According to Voice of China's "National News Network" report, "20 10 China City Housing Price Ranking" has been published, and Hangzhou's housing price has jumped to the top, with the average price of new houses reaching 25,840/square meter, a record high.
The average price of the top 20 cities all exceeds 8500 yuan/square meter.
In 2008, the Livable City Research Office, a private research institution, began to publish the ranking of urban housing prices in China. This is the fifth time that "Livable City Research Office" has released the ranking of urban housing prices in China, and the total number of statistical sample cities is 1 10.
If we compare Shenyang's housing prices with other cities in China, where can Shenyang rank?
One answer is number 62.
Faced with all kinds of housing price ranking data, experts believe that the state should introduce relevant control measures.
There are too many house price data. Who should I listen to?
In fact, some institutions publish house price data every month. Some of these data come from government departments, some from data research institutions, and some from research centers of real estate enterprises.
In this case, Qu Yusheng said that the data from government departments is the most authoritative. Secondly, it is a non-governmental organization focusing on data research and investigation. However, the data released by some real estate development enterprises' data research centers and other institutions usually have some deviations.
Qu Yusheng said that the reason for the current variety of data is that the state has not taken relevant regulatory measures. He suggested that the state should strengthen the supervision of data release, and some data with guiding significance for life should be released by the state authorities.
20 10 housing land supply plan
Liaoning has completed about 74%
Land is the most sensitive nerve affecting the property market. 20 10 what is the actual supply of housing land in China?
The answer is that about 68% of the national housing land supply plan has been actually completed, and about 74% has been completed in Liaoning.
The Ministry of Land and Resources recently announced the final actual situation of housing land supply in various regions. Last year, 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities (excluding Tibet and Xinjiang Construction Corps) planned to provide housing land184,700 hectares, and actually completed125,400 hectares, accounting for 67.9%, and 14 provinces (municipalities) completed more than 70% of the plans.
In 20 10, Liaoning actually supplied 9,448 hectares of housing land, while the annual plan is12,708 hectares, which is equivalent to the completion ratio of about 74%, which is higher than the national average.
According to the analysis of the Ministry of Land and Resources, the implementation of the 20 10 national housing land supply plan is generally good, but there are also problems in the implementation of the plan. The main reasons include:
20 10 is the first year of housing land supply planning, and the preliminary investigation and demonstration in various places are insufficient and the prediction is not accurate enough; The connection between housing land supply plan and housing construction plan is not enough; A small number of project sites still need total land transfer. Under the background of rising house prices driving up the cost of demolition, the progress of land acquisition and demolition is slow, which leads to the failure to convert the approved land into effective supply in time and affects the implementation of the land supply plan.
Qu Yusheng, director of the Department of Engineering Management, School of Economics, Liaoning University, believes that from the comparison between the planned completion and the actual completion of housing land, the demand for land is still strong, and the actual supply of housing land in the country is less than the planned amount, which is also easy to raise everyone's expectation that the land price will continue to rise in 20 10.
"As a source of the property market, land supply does not rule out more policies to ensure the regulation of the property market." Qu Yusheng said.
Low-cost retreat of real estate projects of central enterprises
It has been nearly a year since 78 central enterprises were asked to withdraw from the real estate market. What about abstinence?
20 10 in March, the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) officially issued a "retirement order", requiring 78 central enterprises that do not focus on real estate to withdraw from the real estate market. Since then, the real estate projects of central enterprises listed in the property rights trading market dominated by the North Exchange have gradually increased.
In 20 10, 29 real estate projects of central enterprises were listed on the North Stock Exchange, with a total transfer amount of 3.548 billion yuan. Among the companies taking over the real estate business of central enterprises, state-owned real estate companies have become the mainstream. Most of the projects are sold by agreement, among which 4 projects are sold by bidding, and the overall premium rate is 16.25%.
In the high premium project, 80% equity of Beijing Jinzhongdu Real Estate Co., Ltd. was transferred by auction, and the premium rate reached115.76%; The 42% equity transfer project of Shandong Jiuhe Real Estate Co., Ltd., which was sold by online bidding, has a premium rate of 67.52%.
It is understood that the equity transfer project of Jinzhongdu Real Estate is the first listed real estate project of central enterprises after the SASAC put forward a "retirement order" for central enterprises.
In fact, the operating conditions of most real estate projects listed by central enterprises are not optimistic. Jinzhongdu Real Estate, which has the highest transfer premium rate, has no operating income in 2009, with net profit of-1767700 yuan, total assets of17.55 million yuan and liabilities of 5.8934 million yuan.
For real estate projects listed by central enterprises, many bidders prefer to acquire land by purchasing equity. Therefore, owning land reserves and transferring more than 50% of the shares are more attractive to the developers who take over. "Real estate people said.
Hangzhou Spring Festival property market negative transaction
On New Year's Eve, seven sets of contracts were cancelled, but no deal was made; About nine sets were dissolved on the first day of the year, and no transaction was made; On the second day of the first year, seven sets of contracts were cancelled and no deal was made-
For the Hangzhou property market during the 20 10 Spring Festival, the "zero egg" transaction is not enough to describe the bleak market, because buyers are not busy buying houses, but busy checking out. As of the 8th, 55 houses in the second-hand housing market have been cancelled.
According to the data of Hangzhou Transparent House Sales Network, the second-hand housing market in Hangzhou was zero in early February.
The transaction of the first-hand house is also very bleak. At the beginning of February, the transaction of commercial housing in Hangzhou was 1 1 set, but the transaction was zero the next day and the third day.