Will the US-Russia war affect the world economy? Of course it will. Do you think there was a financial crisis before the war?
War makes economy, science and technology go forward or backward. Without war, there would be no civilization. War is like natural evolution, survival of the fittest, survival of the fittest. When human civilization develops to a certain extent, war will inevitably break out. This is a natural law, and human nature is evil. This is our inevitable experience. War is a tool to trigger scientific, technological, cultural and social progress.
World economy after the Second Opium War The Second Opium War ended at 1860, that is, 65438+ 1960.
65438+1970s ~ early 20th century: the second industrial revolution represented by Britain, America, Germany and France. (1) fundamentally changed the face of industrial production and directly changed human life. (2) Heavy industry has become the leading industry (leading to environmental pollution). (3) Production and capital tend to be concentrated and enter the stage of monopoly/imperialism. (4) The separation of ownership and management rights improves production efficiency, and multinational enterprises (internationalization) appear. (5) 19 At the end of the 20th century, a unified capitalist world market dominated by European and American industrial countries was formed.
In addition, the capitalist world market has been formed through international trade, capital export and force; Large areas of Asia, Africa and Latin America became colonies or semi-colonies; European and American industrial countries obtain raw materials from all over the world and dump industrial products or investments; The currencies of industrial countries are freely convertible, and the economic crisis of one country will affect the whole world.
Economic view of war: why did the United States attack Iraq? Imperialism is a popular saying, which controls the strategic material-oil and upgrades the country from a superpower to a superpower, but is it necessary for the United States? What are the advantages of superpowers? Do you have super powers, which makes her popular all over the world?
This is actually a classic fallacy of broken windows.
The theory is this: a man broke a window of a unlucky guy, so the unlucky guy had to spend 10 to repair the window. After the glassmaker made money, he bought 10 bread, and the baker used the money to buy 10 cam-. . . Therefore, the GDP of this village has at least increased 30 yuan RMB, which is called fallacy? ), because unlucky people can buy bread if they don't need to repair windows, which creates the GDP of 30 yuan, provided that both unlucky people and glassworkers live in the same village, that is to say, they all buy bread in the same shop.
Under the premise of the war of aggression, this is no longer a fallacy. The unfortunate people live in the neighboring village. For this village, this 30 RMB is really much more white. So before the end of the war, various reconstruction contracts had been signed, and most of them were awarded to American glass manufacturers. Even the British are complaining, but they are embarrassed to be too straightforward. They can only say that the contract should be left to the Iraqi people.
Of course, not everyone's glass can be broken. When choosing, pay attention to:
1) There are no German shepherd or thugs in the other party's house, otherwise it is likely to lose his wife and lose his soldiers.
2) The other party must have some money, otherwise it may break through the window and only the newspapers are messy:) The second largest oil reserve in the world, hehe, it should be considered large.
3) The other party seldom comes to this village to buy things, so that they can get the maximum benefit after breaking the glass. What did you say?/Sorry? If unfortunate people used to like to buy $5 cams in this village, but now they have to repair windows to reduce the cost, then the village actually only gets $25. Because of global economic integration, it is really difficult to find a country that does not buy things in Meicun. What better place than 12 countries that impose economic sanctions?
Of course, the glass workers in the village are the happiest when they break the glass, because they are the most direct beneficiaries. Many senior officials of Bush have close ties with glass workers. Vice President Cheney was the CEO of a glass workers' organization before the election, and now he gets his salary from there. But other people in the village will be happy, because they can share the benefits slowly, and even the nearby villages will be happy. Because this village makes money, it may go to a neighboring village to buy a New Year painting or something. This is the reason why the war didn't go well (for example, the video of American prisoners of war was shown in Iraq last weekend). The Dow Jones fell by 300 points, and even Japan and Hong Kong fell. However, as soon as there is news that there may be a rebellion in the south (accelerating the overthrow of the current Iraqi regime), the stock market.
Then who is most angry? Apart from the unlucky family, the store that originally supplied them with bread should be the most angry. For no reason at all, French, Russian and China oil companies have negotiated with Iraq. . .
Some supporters say that this war is not for profit, because Iraq's annual oil revenue is only $654.38+000 billion, while the US military expenditure is about 75 billion. It's like asking professional gangsters to smash the glass now. If it costs ¥ 15, it is not cost-effective for glass manufacturers. However, if this matter is handled by the elders in the village and the expenses are shared by the glassmaker, baker and pirates, the village can still make a net profit 15.
What if it costs 75 dollars to hire a gangster now? It is not enough to smash the window, so "regime change" is needed. The easiest way to recover the cost is to occupy those unlucky families and force them to buy bread in this village in the future. Their daughter-in-law can only make clothes in the village, and the funeral at home can only hire people in the village to cry. Ladies and gentlemen, this is a colony. You know, in the past, all the trash cans in Hong Kong were ordered from Britain. The problem is that this is a bit ugly in 2 1 century. There is another way, that is, to find their son who was swept out of the house and send a housekeeper to ensure that all future consumption at home will be in the village, so that the villagers can earn a lot of money. There has always been a voice in the United States that Iraq should lay a CDMA network. Although all countries in the Middle East use GSM, the main supplier of GSM equipment is in Europe. So maybe Iraq will buy Texas oil at a high price in the future. . .
As for the world's largest village, why do you want to tear your face and drive the demand for bread by being a rogue and smashing glass? To put it simply, the economy is fragile, and the Bushes are unlucky. After in-depth analysis, do it next time.
Which happened first, the Opium War or the World War? First there was the Opium War, then there was the World War.
The Opium War began at 1840.
World War I, 19 14, started on July 28th.
The Tianya Q&A on the economic trend of the United States after the Civil War has the following contents about the historical trend of the American economy:
I) antitrust
After the completion of the second industrial revolution, the first intervention of the United States was the antitrust of theodore roosevelt, and Roosevelt was called the "trust bomber".
The cautious Taft did almost nothing, and finally parted ways with theodore roosevelt;
Wilson, a Democrat, continued to hold high the banner of Theodore, a Republican, opposed trust and enacted the famous Clayton antitrust law.
The above is the first stage of state intervention.
(2) laissez-faire
192 1 year, * * * and Republican Harding entered the White House, which opened the Harding-Coolidge-Hoover era.
Harding was very dissatisfied with Wilson's policy and advocated "returning to normal", which was the resurgence of laissez-faire.
Coolidge believes that "as long as * * * does nothing, 80% of the problems will be solved naturally".
Hoover strongly advocated laissez-faire, and he himself was a successful example of personal struggle.
The result of three presidents' laissez-faire brought the Great Depression of the 1930s to the United States!
The word "Hoover" has changed from a synonym for hero to a prefix for swearing.
At the end of Hoover's term, the GDP of1933 (41400 million) dropped to about 50% of1929 (86.8 billion).
(3) Roosevelt's New Deal
After the Democratic Party franklin roosevelt 1934 came to power, it implemented the "New Deal", intervened strongly in the economy, rescued banks first, then revived agriculture and industry, formulated Wagner law and social security law aimed at protecting the poor and workers, carried out large-scale rescue, and the federal government promoted office undertakings.
Roosevelt's New Deal explored a feasible way to prolong the life of monopoly capitalism for the whole capitalist world, that is, vigorously developing monopoly capitalism in illegal Sith countries and taking the so-called "welfare state" road.
After Roosevelt's death, Truman pursued "fair administration" and still pursued Roosevelt's policy of state intervention in economic policy.
Five years and twenty years before and after the two men, this is the second stage of * * * strong intervention.
⑤ Eisenhower's modern * * * and partisanship.
1953, * * * and Eisenhower entered the White House. They worry that large-scale state intervention since the New Deal is tantamount to "sliding into socialism".
Therefore, they try hard to return to the "normal state" (that is, the state of laissez-faire).
However, the reality of the United States finally made Eisenhower accept the social and economic reforms since the New Deal of the Democratic Party and take a new * * * and political party line-the middle line completely different from the Hoover era.
In the United States in the 1950s, the phenomenon of "another America" appeared in the "affluent society".
Social polarization is still serious and poverty has not been eliminated.
In 1950s, economic growth was slow and gold flowed out, which was severely challenged by the Soviet Union, and the black movement rose.
(6) Kennedy's "New Frontier" and Johnson's "Great Society"
196 1 year, Democrat Kennedy entered the white house.
In economic policy, we will continue to pursue Keynesianism.
Long-term fiscal deficit policy with tax cuts as the mainstay, cheap-money policy with double interest rates, and non-mandatory control of wages and prices in peacetime.
In terms of social welfare policy, in order to meet the new needs of social development and scientific and technological revolution, the federal government has greatly strengthened its intervention in labor reproduction and rapidly expanded the scope of "welfare state" design.
In view of the rapid development of the black movement, Congress passed three major civil rights legislation, which abolished apartheid in law.
The Apollo moon landing program initiated by Kennedy made great progress in American science and technology.
This is the third * * * intervention and the most * * * intervention.
(7) A preliminary attempt to oppose the New Deal tradition.
1969, * * * and Republican Nixon entered the White House.
At first, it tried to take a completely different conservative route from the New Deal, trying to carry out large-scale reforms in economy, social welfare and the * * * system.
In economic policy, he adopted anti-Keynesian policies several times;
In social welfare, he cut the "great society" project and proposed a family assistance plan to replace the federal social assistance;
In the * * * relationship, he advocated changing the flow of power concentrated in Washington and implementing the so-called new federalism;
On the issue of civil rights, it blocked the way of picking up children by school bus to eliminate racial segregation in public schools.
With the implementation of these policies, by 1970, industrial production was weak and the unemployment rate was as high as 5.9%.
All this forced Nixon to take a "try" state intervention. 197111on October 4th, Nixon publicly announced on TV that he would use deficit fiscal policy to achieve full employment.
Nixon tried to get rid of Keynesian state intervention policy several times during his term of office, but he had to return to the road of state intervention every time.
The influence of exchange rate war on the world economic situation The Federal Reserve is actually the world's central bank. No currency can shake the dominance of the dollar. The United States issued a large number of paper money and dollars, plundering world wealth. Because the United States is the largest economy in the world, any economy that may challenge its status will be hit by the United States. Japan's economy developed rapidly after World War II. In the 1980s, Japan's per capita GNP once surpassed that of the United States, and the United States forced Japan to let the yen appreciate. As a result, Japan's economy appreciated. Similarly, the EU economy developed at the beginning of 2 1 century. The EU's economic aggregate is equivalent to that of the United States, and the euro is relatively strong against the US dollar, which tends to challenge the status of the US dollar. The United States caused debt crisis in some European countries through derivatives, and the euro once became a hot potato. Now, we want to let the RMB appreciate, so as to suppress China's economy and prevent or slow down the possibility that China will challenge the United States economically. In short, the purpose of the United States to provoke the exchange rate war is to suppress other economies that may challenge its economic hegemony and continue to safeguard its economic hegemony.
Take economy as the material basis of war and war as economic competition to analyze the Libyan war. Only a strong economy can support the consumption of war. The two sides of the Libyan war, one is the world's largest economy, the United States and its allies in Europe, and the other is economically backward Libya. At the beginning of the war, Libya was subjected to economic sanctions and blockades by western countries, and there was a shortage of materials and food in a short time, and the sources of funds could not provide the required weapons and equipment. This is that economy is the material basis of war. In addition, the war between the United States and European countries is for Libya's oil energy. Oil is the foundation to support the development of modern industry. Without oil, the economy cannot develop, so the history of war is an economic competition.
Will the future war be an economic war? Every war is actually a fight for the economy. Plunder labor, land, wealth and resources, which is not an economic reason? So the future war may not be bloody, but it will still be an economic war. Look at the word "money", the traditional Chinese word "money". Two "go" for one "gold" Look at the word "profit" and cut people's "grain" with a knife. It shows that money and interests are inseparable from war.