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When the heart of Saudi oil is blown up, oil production will be reduced by half. What impact will it have on the global economy?
It is understood that the attack closed half of Saudi Arabia's oil production, which means that it will affect nearly 5 million barrels of oil production every day, accounting for about 5% of the world's daily output. According to industry insiders, the attack on Saudi oil facilities will affect the expectations of a large number of market participants. It is inevitable that the international oil price will fluctuate violently in the short term. If the loss is too large, affecting the balance between supply and demand, crude oil futures prices will rise, whether it will form a trend, it needs to be verified.

For oil importing countries, the price of oil has gone up? As a result, the import cost has increased. What about the extra money? The future can be used for domestic consumption and investment, thus stimulating economic growth. Goldman Sachs estimates that if oil prices remain at the target level? Compared with the previous level, the increase in the cost of crude oil imports in the first half of this year is equivalent to a year-on-year decrease in the real income of Americans by $654.38+05 billion? Yuan. High oil prices bear the brunt of the impact of high-energy industries such as transportation and chemical industry. DuPont estimates oil and gas? Price per? With the increase of 1 USD, the pre-tax operating cost of the company will increase by about 654.38+35 million USD every year. ?

High oil prices have an impact not only on the production and consumption fields of other countries in the world, but also on a country's overall comprehensive development strategy. The development of many countries needs oil security first.

? The so-called "oil security" refers to the state and ability of a country or region to obtain the required oil resources continuously, stably, timely, adequately and economically. If there is an oil security crisis, the global international political structure will inevitably conflict. There are oil shadows behind several major contemporary international conflicts; Oil is like an invisible hand, manipulating the trend of world politics and economy. The turbulent international political situation will have a negative impact on oil prices.

The impact of high oil prices is also reflected in financial markets. With the sharp rise in oil prices, the dollar price may continue to fall. The impact of rising oil prices on countries around the world is different. For oil resource countries, producing countries and transit countries, the sharp rise in international oil prices is a favorable factor to enhance national strength.

Russia uses oil and natural gas to strengthen its geographical strength, members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries expand their right to speak in the world economy by increasing or decreasing crude oil production, and Central Asian countries expand their oil and natural gas exports to strengthen their economic base after independence. Venezuela is the only member of the organization of petroleum exporting countries in Latin America. Its crude oil exports account for more than 75% of its total exports, and it also depends on the rise of international oil prices. For oil consuming countries, every time the oil price rises by 1 USD, the production cost will rise sharply.