It's just over a month before the American election. Will Trump wage war for re-election? What if Trump is re-elected?
Why is America so keen on war?
According to last year's global military expenditure report, the US military expenditure increased by 5.3% over the previous year, reaching 732 billion US dollars, accounting for 38% of the global total, and it deserves to be the first in the world.
They are either at war or preparing for war, so they will increase their military spending again and again. So why is the United States so keen on war?
One is the different national conditions. Our country is rich in resources, and we can be self-sufficient and develop vigorously by relying on local resources. But America is different. Their local resources are limited. Only through plunder and aggression can they get them to the maximum extent.
Second, make money by fighting. The United States not only likes to fight, but also likes to provoke other countries to fight, so that it can make a fortune by selling weapons in the war.
Third, show hegemony. America's ambition is well known. It wants to be the world's boss, the only overlord. And war is the most direct means to help him achieve his goal.
These three points are based on the national conditions of the United States. But for the president, or the president who is about to usher in a new round of general elections, it is also a clever move to wage war.
Will Trump increase the votes through war, like the previous American presidents?
Due to the Cuban missile crisis, Kennedy's support rate rose from 1% in September 1962 to 75% in February 1962. Carter's support rate soared to 58% because of the Iranian hostage incident. The same is true of George W. Bush and George W. Bush, because the war boosted the votes and won the election.
Why did the war have such a great influence on the presidential election? Because any country, once the war comes, can always arouse people's patriotism and sense of national responsibility, and make people more supportive and dependent on the government. This is tantamount to supporting and relying on the president.
The war was initiated by the president. If he steps down, can the new president take over the baton perfectly?
Therefore, the way to ensure re-election through war has been tried and tested in the United States. So will Trump follow the example of his predecessor and repeat the same mistakes? Trump won't.
First of all, Biden is not a qualified opponent. Trump has little competitive pressure and still has a chance of winning. Secondly, this time is different from the past. The current situation in the United States does not allow Trump to rashly launch a war.
The United States lost 200,000 people due to the epidemic, and it is still out of control, and its national strength and economy have been seriously damaged. If another war is launched at this time, although it can temporarily divert the public opinion of the failure to fight the epidemic and help to canvass votes, the manpower and material resources needed for a war will inevitably bring another huge consumption to the United States.
The United States under the epidemic may not be able to withstand such a toss, but at least it is not worth it. Moreover, affected by the epidemic, the world pattern has been reshuffled. If a wrong war is waged, it may lead to the direct fall of the United States? Altar? . Trump, a businessman, can't understand this account.
Trump will not easily provoke a war unless it is a low-cost controllable war.
How about Trump's re-election?
According to the current polls, Trump still has a chance to be re-elected. But whether Trump is re-elected or Biden comes to power, what is it for our country? Hostility? Will not change.
But one thing is certain, there will be no military collision between big countries. Therefore, the United States will still exert pressure on China from trade and public opinion, hinder the development of China and suppress China.
Conclusion: Every enemy must show his sword. New China is no longer that backward and bullied country. In the face of the United States, it is inevitable to encounter confession. Courtesy in return?