When will there be an epidemic in Tianjin? This round of local epidemic in Tianjin started from 65438+10.7, but the actual local epidemic did not happen at this point. Because according to the latest news on 10, the recessive transmission of Omicron in Tianjin has been at least 14 days, that is to say, it has been pushed forward from the time of reporting confirmed cases by 14 days, that is, 12.24 days. Therefore, to be precise, the epidemic situation in Tianjin began to spread in the local area at the end of 65438+February, but it was not found in time because the symptoms of the patients were not obvious after infection. The following diagnosis of soil flow Bian Xiao combing Tianjin in recent days is as follows:
On June 8th, 1, 1, 3 new cases were confirmed in Tianjin.
From 00: 00 to 24: 00 on October 8, 2022/KLOC-0, 3 new cases of COVID-19 were confirmed in Tianjin.
2.65438+1local diagnosis was added in Tianjin on October 9th.
From June 20438 to October 8, 2022/kloc-0, 20 new cases of positive infection in Tianjin were transferred to designated hospitals for further diagnosis and treatment. At present, according to the comprehensive analysis of the municipal expert group, 20 cases of positive infection 18 cases have been confirmed in COVID-19 (including mild type 14 cases, ordinary type 4 cases), and the other 2 cases are asymptomatic infection cases.
When will it end? Because Tianjin is infected with COVID-19 mutant Omicron, and there is no epidemic prevention experience in COVID-19 before, it can be expected that the local epidemic situation in Tianjin will be completely controlled in mid-February, because according to the end time of previous epidemic prevention and control, it will be completely controlled within one month. But the premise is that strict epidemic prevention and control measures need to be taken. For example, after Xi took the strictest measures to prevent and control the local epidemic, the number of confirmed cases decreased significantly in recent days, and the local CDC staff will gradually lift the closed management of low-risk areas in the future. However, there are still many unknowns whether people can go home before the Spring Festival. People will not be allowed to move freely until the epidemic is completely over, otherwise it will be more troublesome to spill over to other areas.
At the same time, we should also remind everyone that with the approach of the Spring Festival holiday, we suggest that you try not to go to medium and high-risk areas and reduce unnecessary travel. Because you may be infected during travel, if you really need to travel, you must take personal protective measures, such as wearing a mask, washing your hands frequently and eating less food in the crowd.
Generally speaking, this round of epidemic in Tianjin is expected to have spread in Indonesia by the end of February 2002165438+,and the end time is expected to wait until after the Spring Festival, that is, around mid-February. Up to now, there are 2 confirmed cases1case in Tianjin.
Where is the source of the Tianjin epidemic? Previously, all the imported cases reported in Tianjin were infected with Omicron, but according to official monitoring, they were not the same transmission chain. In addition, it was found that the first confirmed patient in Tianjin had no history of living outside Tianjin, so the source has not been ascertained. According to Bian Xiao's guess, Tianjin is a port city, which may be related to port employees, who will be exposed to overseas goods, but now the epidemic situation in many foreign countries has begun to increase.
1. Adult, female, 29 years old, a staff member of a nursing institution, developed chills, expectoration and runny nose in the early morning of June 6, 65438, and her self-rated body temperature was as high as 36.9℃, so she took medicine by herself. I went to Jinnan Hospital for nucleic acid test on the 7th.
Two, a child, female, 10 years old, Jinnan District Xianshuigu No.7 Primary School student. On October 7th, 65438/KLOC-0, she and her family drove to the fever clinic of Jinnan Hospital.