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If Manchu insisted on not entering the customs and developing in the northeast, how would history be rewritten?
The Qing dynasty can prosper for a while without entering the customs, but it will be destroyed by the Central Plains Dynasty sooner or later.

1644, on the eve of Manchu's entry into the customs, it was already a country with strong strength and vast territory. Therefore, even if Manchu did not enter the customs, it would maintain a strong expansion momentum and dominate the north for a long time.

Geography: The Manchu dynasty that Dourgen took over from Huang Taiji, including the whole northeast north of Shanhaiguan, Monan Mongolia and client country Korea. Moreover, Huang Taiji had been actively plundering Mongolia and other places in Tibet before his death.

Economy: Nurhachi slaughtered more than 6.5438+0 million Han people (more than 3 million) in Liaodong and mastered a large area of cultivated land that has been developed and matured. Then a large number of Nuzhen people gave up the lifestyle of fishing, hunting and gathering and went to Liaodong Peninsula for farming.

After Huang Taiji came to power, he plundered the Central Plains many times for the sake of population and wealth, brought a large number of people and livestock to Liaodong, and tried his best to restore agricultural production in Liaodong.

On the eve of the demise of the Ming Dynasty, the grain output in Liaodong basically recovered to the level before the war in Nurhachi.

Commercial trade in Qing Dynasty was mainly conducted with Shanxi merchants. Sell ginseng, Oriental Pearl, fur products, etc. Sell it to Shanxi merchants, and then buy grain, iron and nitrate for making gunpowder smuggled by Shanxi merchants.

After Huang Taiji conquered Monan Mongolia, the trade with Shanxi merchants did not need to be conducted in secret. Huang taiji also sent people to set up trade zones in Hohhot and other places, where livestock and grain can be bought and sold, greatly increasing the trade volume.

Military: Pay equal attention to cold weapons and hot weapons, and there is no shortage of infantry and cavalry.

Dourgen has mixed firearms and cold weapons with Mongolian Eight Banners cavalry, Manchu Eight Banners cavalry and infantry.

After years of fighting with Han Chinese, Manchu realized the power of firearms. Kong Youde's vote for the Qing Dynasty brought a professional firearms unit, and the ware and artillery could be skillfully used. By the time Dourgen came to power, Manchu had initially acquired the ability to cast guns.

If Manchu did not enter the customs, the possible development direction:

The military strength of Manchu was far stronger than that of Central Plains in the south, Cossack cavalry in the north and Galdin in the west. Therefore, the development of Manchu and Qing dynasties will be smooth in any direction. But after analyzing the surrounding situation, I think the Manchu will formulate such a strategy.

In the northern part of the Qing Dynasty, an expedition led by thousands of Cossack cavalry had taken control of Siberia. In the west of the Qing Dynasty, the expansion of galdan was strong.

In the view of Manchu, the bitter Siberian wasteland in the north and the arid Gobi desert, desert and grassland in the west are far less rich than Liaodong. To develop to the northwest, we must fight against the strong enemies of Russia and Galdin. The battle is not easy, but the gains are not great, so it is difficult to continue fighting. In addition, it is difficult to completely defeat galdan and Russia with the basic tactics of Liaodong and Monan Mongolia in the Qing Dynasty.

Therefore, the foreign development direction of the Manchu dynasty should be mainly to annex Tibet, so as to form a strategic situation favorable to the Central Plains dynasty. Then from time to time, he sent troops to the Central Plains to extort and plunder the population and wealth of the Han people. But no matter what Manchu did, it was doomed to be destroyed by the Central Plains Dynasty.

At the end of the Ming Dynasty, the seeds of capitalism appeared in China. Thinkers of the Ming Dynasty, such as Wang Fuzhi, have been summing up history and reflecting on emperors of past dynasties? Home world? Various drawbacks.

Intellectuals in the Ming dynasty have been divided, and enlightened scholars who dare to accept new things have been studying western learning (science and technology) tirelessly. Even Emperor Chongzhen came forward to organize scholars to translate and promote western scientific works.

Western mercenaries appeared in the Ming army, and the equipment of the army quickly turned into hot weapons.

High-yield crops such as potatoes and sweet potatoes are also being promoted, which is bound to be accompanied by explosive population growth.

It is foreseeable that as long as the normal development trend of Ming society is not changed. The strength of the Central Plains Dynasty will soon increase geometrically and make a qualitative leap. Then, when the time is right, they will send troops to destroy the Manchu dynasty and collect Liaodong, no matter who is the emperor.

The people of China have special feelings for Liaodong, and the emperors of the Central Plains Dynasty, whether Li Zicheng or Zhu, will never forget this place. Liaodong area was the traditional territory of the Central Plains Dynasty from the Yan State in the Warring States Period.

The Sui Dynasty fought to the point of national subjugation because it wanted to recover Liaodong. Emperor Taizong used his personal expedition to Liaodong, and his son Li Zhi became emperor. After two generations' efforts, he finally recovered Liaodong. By the Ming Dynasty, Liaodong was under the jurisdiction of Shandong Province, and it had the same important position as the hometown of Confucius and Mencius.

It can be seen that the Central Plains Dynasty attached great importance to Liaodong. As long as the Central Plains Dynasty completed its internal integration, it would turn its attention to Liaodong. Sooner or later, an army with overwhelming advantages in scale and quality will be organized to recover Liaodong.

For the Manchu dynasty, no matter which Han emperor was in power, it must be resolutely eliminated in order to show its legal correctness. Since Nurhachi, Manchu has been stepping on the bones of Han people to establish political achievements. Nurhachi plundered wealth and land by cruel means? Rich or poor, slaughtered? The policy slaughtered the Han people and wiped out the Liaodong Peninsula 1 tens of thousands of Han people.

Huang Taiji sent troops to the Central Plains three times before and after, and wherever he went, he burned and looted, killing all the people, leaving only young people who did not resist and being taken back to Liaodong, and * * * took away more than 6,543.8+0,000 people.

1636, Huang taiji sent troops to the Central Plains and captured170,000 people. 1639, Manchu captured 250,000 people from the Central Plains. 1642, Huang taiji sent troops to plunder nearly 70 cities in the Central Plains, taking away a population of 370,000. There are more than 654.38+0 million single abducted young people, and more will be killed, but there is no way to count them.

More than 654.38+000 million Han people died in the slaughter and plunder of the Han people in the Qing Dynasty. No emperor in the Central Plains Dynasty can ignore it, and as long as there is an opportunity, it will definitely not save the Qing Dynasty.

The number and scale of primitive dynasties in China can crush the troops of the Qing Dynasty and explore Manchuria with tenacious fighting will. The army dominated by riding and shooting in the Qing dynasty was not an opponent at all, and it could only be eliminated without suspense.