The title of short-term killer is the investment realm pursued by investors who struggle in the stock market every day. How to do a good job in short-term is a problem that professional investors are studying.
First of all, being short-term does not mean buying today and selling tomorrow, nor does it mean chasing strong stocks that have risen sharply after the operation of rising waves. Short-term buying points refer to short-term technical lows, and it can be clearly predicted on the chart that a series of rising actions will be launched later. This is the best trend we pursue. Therefore, the author prefers to understand short-term as "maximizing the profit of limited investment". Therefore, the thorough strength of weak stocks is the best time for us to buy; The initial weakness of strong stocks will be the best reason for us to sell.
Secondly, from the perspective of Dawes theory, although short-term behavior is short-term, short-term behavior is not a denial of long-term trends. The grasp of a short-term variety should be to look at the short-term. Usually, the author decomposes a graph into weekly, monthly, daily and 60-minute lines. Only stocks with four cycles in wave theory at the same time can guarantee short-term security and maximize returns. Of course, stocks that meet the above conditions are rare at the same time, so how to choose the weights among them is a problem that short-term speculators need to grasp.
Finally, a short-term speculator should also be a master of fundamental analysis. Because fundamental analysis involves many aspects of knowledge structure, common sense should be a self-study course for every speculator.
The analysis of stock begins with its form. Short-term speculators reject any stock that loses its upward momentum, that is to say, a stock that really deserves intervention must have a perfect upward pattern, and the perfection of this pattern is not only reflected in the daily chart. It should be regarded as an attack form in various periodic compound States.
The most important thing is the upside state and momentum on the time-sharing quotation oscillation diagram, and the key technical point is whether to adopt a single breakthrough or an easy breakthrough. These are all indicators that must be evaluated. Judging from the current habits of the main operation of securities firms, the former is more used. There is a problem worth mentioning about how to judge the wave pattern of upswing. The author didn't fully analyze it clearly, but just put forward some solutions:
First, the peak of the market determines the completion of the surge operation of individual stocks. The correction of plate accelerates the completion of wave form.
Second, the stocks that didn't break through the top in the last year can be considered as upside-down stocks and haven't finished running.
So the stocks I often make are all stocks that are ready to break through the previous highs. How to judge whether a stock can pass the previous high point involves some solid disk analysis, such as main disk, splint, forced position, pressure plate, shock position, reverse position and anti-technical high-tech fraud line. This will be further clarified in the following discussion.
The deviation and synchronization of main operations are the main means of technical analysis methods, such as statistics, mathematical calculation and drawing on the basis of historical data such as price and quantity. Usually technical analysis is divided into five categories: exponential category and tangent category. Morphological class, K-line class, wave class. This is a basic practical skill that a beginner must master. We will focus on analyzing its usability.
(1) The so-called index technical analysis refers to establishing a mathematical model and giving a mathematical calculation formula by considering all aspects of market behavior, and getting a number that reflects the inherent essence of a certain aspect of the market. This number is called the index value. For example, the traditional kdj, macd. When we know how the indicators are produced, we know that the so-called universal indicators no longer exist. Those who try to prove how omnipotent their indicators are by using dark horse capture technology under specific historical conditions are all tricks of self-deception.
The predictability of the stock market in the future determines that the indicators are for actual combat, rather than relying on a few fiddling data games to comfort themselves. This common fault is very popular among stock software developers now. There are many good investors who did not pay attention to the specific scope and significance of indicators when they first entered the stock market and blindly used indicators to invest. This leads to the argument that indicators are useless. In fact, in our emerging market, the main bookmakers often use the majority of shareholders' little knowledge of indicators to achieve their ulterior motives. Indicators are generally divided into three categories: forecast indicators, signal indicators and trading system indicators. When we do short-term, we should know the applicable period of the index, so that we can use all 18 weapons flexibly and win every battle.
(2) Tangent indicators emphasize trends. The trend is the direction in which the stock price runs. If you want to change a trend after it is formed, you must have enough external force to influence it. Therefore, once the stock is in an accelerated rising period, holding is our best choice. Of course, this trend should be grasped for a long time. More important in tangent theory are some skills of trend line and golden section line, which is very important for short-term investors. Proper application of Gann callback theory can be of great help to you.
(3) Morphological theory and weekly theory: Due to the increase of the main operation cycle at this stage, the BLACKPINK of Changzhuang shares appeared. The traditional theoretical information revealed on the daily chart is easily deceived by the main force. So here I introduce a contour theory. From the weekly line, we can observe what state the stock price is in now with the eyes of a strategist. The utility of morphological theory can be perfectly embodied. If you only pay attention to the so-called short-term daily form, you will taste the bitter fruit of the main cheating. For example, the m head made in the main cost area. See (600365) Tong Jiu on 200 1 4. 17-4.25 for details. From the daily line, the shape is extremely poor. But from the weekly line, I suddenly realized that the main force's heart of playing hard to get is vivid on the "map" and investors can boldly and resolutely absorb it.
(4) Wave theory, which is a theory mastered by genius. Is beyond the reach of ordinary investors. Although the principle of wave is simple, it is difficult to reach a consensus, just like there are a thousand Hamlets in the hearts of a thousand viewers. There is a simple way, in fact, you can use the weekly line to divide the stock. We only look for the rising trend wave of the stock, and don't care which wave it is. After the upswing wave passes through the previous head, the inertia rises for a few days. If there is weakness or stagflation, it will be resolutely out. Because most market participants are optimistic about record-breaking stocks, the main players can easily do the opposite. Therefore, we should be firm and cautious about some stocks that hit record highs, and blindly looking at more stocks that hit record highs will only be mercilessly teased by the bookmakers.
(5)k-line theory. This kind of technical analysis is often regarded as a scam by the main force. Why do many main players like to use it? In a conversation with a trader, I learned that because most investors use the money-dragon disk, the judgment of a stock is mostly based on a little knowledge of the K-line combination, and most other indicators are ignored.
So how does the main force cheat at this stage? Please believe this first-"When the market thinks that this technology is 100% * *, it often means that this technology has begun to fail". The more people know, the easier it is for the main force to fight back. For example, the shadow line is reversed, because in traditional theory, the shadow line represents the big selling pressure of the stock price and is a short signal. Now the main force often uses it to shake positions and wash dishes, which has become a signal to force retail investors out. For example, in April 1, 20065438+7, Tianyu Electric.
How to distinguish this kind of scam? Specifically, master the position and cost price of the main force, carefully judge the technical actions that the main force may do at this stage, and don't be deceived by it.
The stock ready to break through is your bank.
The author observed the stock trend chart of Shenzhen and Shanghai stock markets for ten years, and found that the best intervention period with the fastest and most stable rise was the price area with a head drop of 6% in the previous period, which was often a place that did not attract the attention of market investors. Looking at the daily increase list, most stocks are very firm when they are over the top. Then in the early stage, you can open a position below the head to intervene in the stock, and the stock that breaks through the head often has an accelerated upswing process. This is the main force to get rid of the cost area quickly and improve the book profit. Well, after we earn 6%, the profit will be about 5%, so it shouldn't be a problem to get in and out of 10% every short time.
This is much greater than 2.5%. Now the problem comes out. Not all stocks can break through the previous highs. How can we judge a smooth breakthrough? Let's introduce them one by one.
1, prerequisite: the current price is not far from the main cost area. How to judge the position cost of the main force, there is a mobile cost distribution index in the analyst system and compass system, which basically reveals the cost conversion process of the main force. Please refer to the analyst's practical skills book for specific application. The second method, visual inspection, is based on the bottom volume of the dense transaction area. This method will generally be adopted by "Yuan Laopai" stock reviews. The third method, because the cost of the main force is often higher than the actual cost, and the funds spent by the main force in the process of stock price pull-up are different due to different skills. So the author made a cost invincible index, which revealed the dynamic cost of the main force more accurately. In fact, many main players stopped falling when they reached the track of dynamic cost line when washing dishes. This is unmatched by the naked eye and other indicators. Moreover, the cost line and pressure line that a stock wants to break through are slowly converging, which fully exposes that the main force is secretly building positions. Only when the cost of chips and main force is basically the same can we have a high chance of winning in a series of short-term operations.
2, winning a trick-break through the various exploratory actions that are obvious in front of the main force before. A main force in order to successfully break through the early pressure on the head, often take the following despicable means:
First, open higher and take the big yinxian line. This figure is often quickly suppressed after the main control panel opened higher in early trading, even near yesterday's closing price, so that some vested interests are out because of their unstable mentality to digest the pressure on their heads in the early stage. For example, on May 8, 200 1 year, Qingqi Haiyao took the main disgusting action.
Second, the failed attack-Cobra, the main force often takes advantage of people's "worry" about the so-called pressure near the previous high point. After hitting a high point in early trading, it was beaten by several big singles in late trading, causing the illusion that the so-called main financial strength is limited. A few days later, it hurried in twice and came again, for example: 200165438+1October 4.
Third, the amount of theft continues to attack the combination. In order to achieve the goal of building a position at a low position, the main force often continues to increase its volume in the area below the head in the early stage. As a result, the transaction volume was completely over the top in the future, such as Tianyu Electric in April 1 and 200 1. If you can cooperate with the chips to cross the index, it is easy to catch the dark horse.
Fourth, it rises first and then falls, and some main players are even worse, so as to digest the head pressure in the early stage and achieve the purpose of shock storage. Wash the dishes first, and then do it. For example, the classic figure of Chongqing Dongyuan, from April 65438 to June 25, 2006, went through eight days of cruel dish-washing attacks. The above four trial washing combinations can probably summarize most of the main signs of trying to cross the head in the early stage. Other changes can't escape these ways, please keep that in mind.
3, slowly rising trend line, popularly speaking, is the runway line. There will be a rising period before the stock rises sharply, and a stock that can successfully pass the previous period will inevitably have this performance. So it is very helpful to grasp the rhythm of stock upside.
4. The special judgment of characteristic index, the author made an index, namely the invincible index of Ziyi cost, which specifically revealed the regional value of the main cost. Generally, the stocks that have successfully broken through are often consistent with the dynamic pressure line and the dynamic cost line, which proves that the main force has improved the upside rhythm. If you add the msd index of Cheng Feng or Qiu's power radar, it's really wonderful.
The mentality and quality of short-term speculators
In fact, in a sense, doing stock speculation is a state of mind, and a good state of mind is the prerequisite for the success of short-term fighting. In a sense, mentality is more important than technology. Improving personal quality is another problem that we need to pay attention to. A person with low basic quality will not become a top player.
If you want to be a top player, you need to strengthen your self-cultivation. The shortcut is to read more relevant cultural classics such as Diamond Sutra, Book of Changes, Sun Tzu's Art of War and so on. For example, in the Diamond Sutra, it is said that "everything is illusory, and if it is not, it is Tathagata", which means that only when you have the ability to see the essence through phenomena can you grasp the law and truth. In the battle of stock market, strategy is also very important. There is a cloud in Sun Tzu's art of war: a husband and a soldier are like water, and the water moves downwards to avoid heights, while the soldiers avoid reality and attack emptiness; Water flows according to the ground, and the soldiers will win. Therefore, the soldiers have no constant potential and the water is impermanent. Being able to win because of the enemy's change is called God. "Quoting into the stock market is to learn to change the investment strategy in order to win!"
China's culture is extensive and profound, which gives us a lot of inspiration. In actual combat, we also need to know the economic trends of all walks of life and the surrounding economic situation. And finally be invincible.