From 2006 to 20 10, the remaining technically recoverable reserves of natural gas in China increased from 3.0 trillion cubic meters to 3.8 trillion cubic meters, an increase of 25.90%; Natural gas production increased from 58.6 billion cubic meters to 96.8 billion cubic meters, an increase of 65%.
In 2011110, China's natural gas production reached 82.6 billion cubic meters, up 6.60% year-on-year. Although the reserves and output have greatly increased, they still cannot meet the consumption demand of the domestic natural gas market.
The growth of natural gas supply is not as fast as that of consumption, and the imbalance between domestic natural gas supply and demand leads to the continuous increase of natural gas imports in China. From 20 1 1 to 1, China imported about 25 billion cubic meters of natural gas, an increase of nearly 1 times.
During the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, 44,000 kilometers of natural gas pipelines (including branch lines) were built, and the transportation capacity of new trunk pipelines was about 654.38+50 million cubic meters per year; The working gas volume of the new gas storage is about 22 billion cubic meters, accounting for 9% of the total natural gas consumption in 20 15 years; Urban emergency and peak-shaving gas storage capacity reached 65.438+0.5 billion cubic meters.
By the end of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan", a national trunk pipeline network with west-to-east gas transmission, Sichuan-to-east gas transmission, Shaanxi-Beijing line and coastal trunk highways as the main arteries will be initially formed, connecting four import strategic channels, main production areas, consumption areas and gas storage, forming a stable and safe gas supply pattern with multiple gas sources and multi-mode peak shaving.
During the six years from 2007 to 20 12, the average price of natural gas retail terminals in provincial capital cities (excluding the price of vehicle natural gas) rose from 2.22 yuan /m3 in 2007 to 2.76 yuan /m3 in 20 12, with an increase of only 2.4%. With the increasing import of natural gas, the problem of price inversion between imported gas and domestic gas has become more and more prominent, and the loss of natural gas business has become more and more serious.
During the three years from 20 10 to 20 12, the average annual import price of natural gas in China rose from $322 to $543 per ton, an increase of 68.6%. After gas restriction, there will be a big gas supply gap in many areas. Because Huabei Oilfield and Daqing Oilfield are mainly responsible for supplying gas to Inner Mongolia, Jizhong, Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia and other places, the gas supply gap in the north is obvious this time.
After 20 13 natural gas price forms a market-oriented mechanism, in order to form a resource supply guarantee, the natural gas price reform is likely to be gradually extended to other provinces and cities.
From 2065438+00 to 2065438+05, 30 million kilowatts of gas-fired power stations were added nationwide, and CNG/LNG vehicles were listed one after another. The number of filling stations in China is also increasing, and the annual receiving capacity of liquefied natural gas along the west-to-east gas pipeline has increased by more than 50 million tons. By 20 15, more than 1000 natural gas distributed energy projects and natural gas distributed energy demonstration zones will be built. For details, please refer to China Natural Gas Industry Supply and Demand Forecast and Investment Strategy Foresight Report.
At the beginning of 20 16, the Economic and Technical Research Institute of China Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Company released the Report on the Development of Domestic and Foreign Oil and Gas Industry in 20 15, saying that the growth rate of China's natural gas consumption in 20 15 hit a new low in 10. China's natural gas industry faces two major challenges: excess resources and insufficient infrastructure.
The report shows that in 20 15 years, the growth rate of natural gas demand in China slowed down obviously, and the annual apparent consumption is expected to be 19 10 billion cubic meters, up 3.7% year-on-year, hitting a new low of 10. Domestic natural gas production is affected by pressure. It is estimated that the annual output will be131800 million cubic meters, with an increase of 3.5%, which is 3. 1 percentage point lower than that of the previous year. At the same time, however, natural gas imports reached 32.4 billion cubic meters, an increase of 4.7%, and the dependence on foreign countries rose to 32.7%.
The report predicts that in 20 16 years, the downward adjustment of natural gas prices and stricter environmental protection will boost the growth rate of natural gas demand. It is estimated that the demand for natural gas will exceed 200 billion cubic meters. Due to the shortage of gas storage capacity and peak shaving capacity in China, the problems of limited production in summer and limited supply in winter may still occur.
It is predicted that before 2030, natural gas will keep pace with coal and oil in primary energy consumption. By 2040, the proportion of natural gas will be equal to that of oil. By 2050, the world energy demand will increase by 60%, but the consumption of coal and oil will gradually decline, and the peak of natural gas will last for a long time. The emergence and great development of unconventional natural gas will certainly support the rapid development of natural gas and eventually surpass oil to become the world's largest consumer energy.