Because of the strength of banker's trading, many retail investors will choose to pay attention to the trend of banker's trading and decide their own operation mode according to the direction of banker's operation. This is a very good idea, but in the actual transaction, investors will find that the ideal is full and the reality is very skinny. The core of the banker's operation itself is to trick retail investors, so it will deliberately set more traps in the plate to trick retail investors into entering the set. If ordinary retail investors do not have excellent skills to follow Zhuang, blindly following Zhuang will inevitably lose a lot.
However, bookmakers are also investors in this market and should follow the trading principles of this market. Investors can first have a comprehensive understanding of the banker and understand the tricks commonly used by the banker; After that, you can understand the trading objectives, trading techniques and disk characteristics of each step in the whole process of sitting in the village; Finally, we can work out a reasonable strategy of chasing Zhuang from our own point of view.
Why did the dealer smash the market and cause the stock price to fall?
If I am an institutional investor, if I want to be a stock, I think I must first find a stock of the right size, which does not need to have a good prospect, but it will never go bankrupt in a few years. Then I visited the company leader and told him that I wanted to invest in his stock and asked them to cooperate. How to cooperate? That is, when I get paid, I try to level my performance in the announcement, or hide my profits appropriately. This is easy for the company, as long as I make appropriate adjustments to the report. For example, I will extract some gains and losses in a quarter to make its statements look like losses; Or spread the expenses in the next few years to half a year, making the current report ugly.
Before that, I definitely want to buy some chips, mainly for smashing dishes. How to collect these chips? I won't collect it slowly every day, because it will make the stock go up every day, but it is difficult to receive enough chips, which will be easily taken away by retail investors, leading to an increase in technical indicators and an increase in the cost of my own collection. I will use the method of rising one day to collect. When falling for several days in a row, retail investors were pessimistic and disappointed. Suddenly, they rose sharply, saw hope, and would not throw it away. Those who make short-term profits may hand over their guns. In fact, at this price, I just want to smash the chips, and I don't need to collect a lot, so a sudden rise is easy to achieve my goal.
It opened lower the next day. Why do you want to open it low and not high? Because the chips I received yesterday are not ready to make a profit, I want the short-term chips that followed the trend yesterday to help me smash the plate. If it is high, short-term chips will be easy to make profits, and they will have more funds to compete with me on the way down, so I must open lower and consume these short-term funds. In the process of falling, I will gradually use the single bottom, because I want to form my own bottom. After several days of continuous decline, some chips that cut meat will cover their positions. At this time, I can't let them cover their position. I must eat them quickly and let them chase the wind. When a chasing market is formed, I will throw some chips at the bottom high point, one is to reduce costs, the other is to free up funds, and then I will break it quickly.
Similarly, I will throw it while holding it, so that I can get more chips at a lower price.
When I fell to a very low level, basically no one grabbed chips from me, because in the process of falling, I kept throwing high and sucking low, and constantly fluctuated greatly, so that most of the bargain-hunting and rebound were trapped in the process of falling, or they lost all their money, making them afraid to set foot on this stock again. At this time, my goal was achieved. At this time, the cooperation of the company is crucial. Long-term performance has not improved, so most retail investors are afraid of st, and the high chips will continue to fall. I can continue to collect chips at the bottom sideways. This may take a long time, depending on the degree to which the top chip falls. If the high chips don't loosen for a long time, then I won't pull this stock (the bottom changes hands completely).
When enough chips are collected, the company's performance will also be improved, because in the chips I collected, the company will spread all the profits and losses or expenses that can be thought of in the next few years in that one and a half years, and the subsequent statements will definitely look good. At this time, I pull it effortlessly and it doesn't cost much. Other people in this market will surely follow the crowd when they see that this stock is so excellent, so I gradually reduce my position.
If the company can cooperate so well, what benefits can he get? It's actually quite simple. I pull the stock to a high level, and they can also sell it at a good price; At a low level, they can also buy their own stocks and earn a reputation, so the income will be considerable. Why not?
Of course, this is the same as the market trend. In the middle, retail investors should know what to do.
Of course, if I am a farmer, I have to consider many problems. The first is the supervision of the Securities and Futures Commission. Although they dare not touch the tiger, or they are just making trouble for the tiger, it is not a problem to step on a fly. So manipulating the stock can't let them catch hold of it. At this time, it is necessary to consider multiple accounts or pull several large private placements to fight collectively.
Second, we should consider the issue of industrial capital. If when we pull, they see considerable profits and throw a lot of chips as a result, then we will be miserable and lose money. Before we do it, we must first communicate with them, and also know how much circulation they have and how they intend to sell it. This is a question of size.
The third thing to consider is Lao Zi and Zhuangzi. If this stock has not been abandoned by Laozi and Zhuangzi, I will try not to touch it, because once it is reversed by Laozi and Zhuangzi, you will die miserably, just like the hot money of China Unicom. Therefore, stock selection is very important.
The fourth is the market situation. There are not many followers, and the stock funds in society are insufficient. As it is now, most retail investors or large households have been slaughtered. This time is not suitable for stocks. You dragged others to sell, and you ended up trapping yourself. The most appropriate thing now is to smash the stock. Most people have a state of mind. The stocks bought by 20 yuan fell to 15 yuan and fell to 10 yuan. When they fall to 5 yuan, few people will sell them, but if you fall to 2 yuan and pull them back to 4 yuan, many people will basically cut their meat when they double, especially when they fall for a long time or sideways.
When these problems are solved, the crushing begins. How much is appropriate? According to the market situation, you must follow the market every day. When the market plummets, you must go deep. The cost is very low at this time. As long as you break the key points with a small amount of chips, there will be a stop-loss plate to help you go on. However, some chips must be entered at the end of the day to prevent the market from falling or rising the next day. Just master a certain amount of chips flexibly, that is to say, keep an eye on the index stocks when trading.
Why are you staring at the index stocks? The key is cost. With the fluctuation of the market, your cost is the lowest. When the index stocks fall, you also fall, and the chips used are the least, because not many people dare to buy them and can smash them deeply. When the market goes up, you don't have to buy more, just buy chips at the key point. Some people will push the stock price to a high point, and you can also sell some chips at a low level, so that you can make some money to earn a little difference.
Therefore, what we see in the stock market is that everyone has to go up together, and everyone wants to go down.
There are several kinds of people in the stock market, such as trend investors, people who ignore them after being trapped, technologists, fundamentals, long-term customers, short-term speculators and so on.
I want to make a fortune on this stock. I want to face all these people and try my best to make them make less money or cut their meat on the stock I control. At this time, I have to deal with it in many ways, because if they earn more, it means that I earn less. If they don't cut the meat, I won't make any money.
I don't have any good ideas about trend investors, but I can only regard them as a member of the lock position; But for others, I usually rely on them to eat, drink and have fun.
I usually like to ignore them after they are locked up. After these people gave me money, they helped me lock most of the chips and let me have enough money to ride freely at the bottom.
Fundamentalists are also my favorite second place, because they basically take over when I raise the stock price, and the fundamentals of the company become very bright after I raise the stock price, and they will take over; After they took over, the company's fundamentals changed, and they returned the chips to me at a low position.
Technicians generally have more short-term projects and like to do bands. People here think they are very skilled, such as KDJ golden fork and dead fork, MACD, CR, volume-price relationship, Fibonacci golden section, Eliot wave theory, Gann curve and so on. But I don't usually look at this when I do stocks. I usually only stare at how many orders I placed today, how many orders I entered at a certain price, and what price the larger accounts entered and exited. This is very important to me, because it determines how to operate the next day, and sometimes it is necessary to appease them and ask them to help keep their stocks for a few more days to reduce the number of active chips.
But sometimes we have to let them out, especially short-term customers. When we find a lot of short-term hot money coming in today, we must kill them the next day anyway, even if it is against the market.
How do the main bookmakers smash vegetables?
The main force deliberately depressed the stock price significantly, causing market panic. In the whole process of sitting in the villa, the main force may break the board, such as breaking the board to attract funds, breaking the board to sort out, breaking the board to shake the warehouse, breaking the board to ship, and so on. What is studied here is the cost-free smashing in the later period of the main issue, which has certain time continuity and falling space.
1, waterfall shattered
This method mostly appears at the end of the main shipment, sometimes influenced by some sudden major bad news, or due to the banker's own reasons, such as insufficient funds, illegal manipulation being investigated and so on. The main force took extreme measures to quickly lower the stock price, forming a "waterfall" diving form. On the K-line chart, the big yinxian line is continuously pulled out or the daily limit board is directly raised, and the "one" or "one" shape often appears on the disk. The main force that adopts this technique is bearish on the market outlook, which coincides with the weakening of the general trend and the cooling of popularity. There are few main chips left, regardless of the profit of the remaining chips. After the end of this method, there may be a historical bottom area, but the bottom oscillation is long and large, which makes it difficult for retail investors to operate and easy to lose money.
Figure 1, Tianjin Magnetic Card (600800): After the stock price peaked, it fell all the way for more than six months, and the main players kept distributing chips. When there are not many chips left in the hands of the main players, the stock price is suppressed regardless of the cost, and there is a "waterfall"-like crushing trend on the disk. In just over 20 trading days, the stock price fell by nearly 50%, and then stabilized to make room for the next round of market speculation. After that, I prepared for 9 months at the bottom, bottomed out before the August market of 20 12, and walked out of the market.
2. Step crushing plate
This trend is that the main force will smash the stock price down a step and adjust it for a period of time. When retail investors intervene due to misjudgment, they will smash the stock price again, then sort it out for a while and then smash it down. The combination of daily K-lines forms a downward step. After the crushing, the stock price may reach the bottom area, but the bottom time is long, the shock is large, and it is difficult for retail investors to operate. The reason for the crash may be to prepare a new market, or it may be to abandon the village and exchange shares in the late stage of chip release. It's not usually a news-triggered crash. Once the news-triggered crash is over, it will be over.
Step-by-step crushing and step-by-step shipping are very similar in trend and form. The main difference between the two is that in the process of decline, it often appears in the step-by-step shipment of middle and high positions, and the stock price is far from bottoming out; In the process of falling, the middle and low positions tend to be crushed step by step, and the stock price basically reaches the bottom area.
The intention of the main force to sit in the village: First, there are not many chips left, and the profit of sitting in the village is also very rich. But the stock (macro) itself is good, and many factors of the disk (micro) are well known. The main force doesn't want to abandon the market, so it lowers the stock price with a small amount of chips in its hands to make room for a new round of market operation; Second, influenced by macro and micro factors, or because of the main force's own reasons, it no longer loves to fight, so it abandoned Zhuang.
The method of retail investors: When encountering this trend, don't intervene too early, so as not to encounter a trap, and then make a decision after the obvious bottom shape appears.
The stock price movement is driven by external forces, that is, funds, and there are ups and downs. At the end of a trend market, there is often a certain price extension due to inertia, which is the same as the principle of mechanical movement. Therefore, this kind of smashing method is because the main force has been using infinite yin-falling shipments for a long time, and the stock price has formed a downward trend line. At the end of the distribution, the main force used the downward inertia to smash the stock, accelerating the decline and deepening of the stock price. After this appearance, it often indicates that the stock price decline is coming to an end.
Intention of the main force: this is the trading method adopted by the main force using the principle of inertia. Maybe he wanted to clear his position, so he shorted the stock regardless of the cost, or deliberately depressed the stock price and re-entered the market to collect chips.
Figure 4. UFIDA Software (600588): After the stock price peaked, it fell wave after wave, forming a downward trend line in the process of falling. When the stock price rebounded, it was under the double pressure of the trend line and the moving average, showing a downward trend. After a short slight rebound, due to the influence of inertia, the stock price broke again, and the momentum of breaking was fierce. The short-term decline is very large, and retail investors suffer from the deep set.
Technical characteristics of plate crushing
1, indicator characteristics
(1) moving average system: the moving average is arranged in a big short position, the stock price runs below the moving average, and the short-term moving average falls at a steep angle. The 5-day, 10, 30, and 60-day moving averages form a short arrangement, which suppresses the stock price from diverging downward in a streamlined manner.
(2) Technical indicators: RSI indicators are in ultra-weak areas. KDJ and w%R indicators are seriously oversold, and the bottom is seriously passivated. The absolute values of BIAS and 36BIAS indicators are relatively large, close to the historical maximum.
MACD indicator shows a downward trend, and the green bar line is increasing day by day.
(3) Volume: At this stage, the volume of transactions has shrunk dramatically, almost showing a decline in empty volume, and the market atmosphere is deserted and miserable.
2. K-line characteristics
The daily K-line is characterized by hanging willow branches, which often open lower, forming a gap of falling and jumping, and will not be replenished in the short term. When the stock price falls, the K-line portfolio presents a typical short arrangement.
According to the K-line theory analysis, the common K-line combinations at this stage are: Yin Da line, Huai Liu Jia, inverted hammer head, three crows, broken foot, gap, I-shape, I-shape and so on.
3. Fluctuation characteristics
In wave theory, the crushing stage mostly belongs to C wave adjustment. C wave is the most destructive of the three waves, with a long time and a large decline. It is the most difficult bear road for investors, showing an infinite downward trend. The decline of C wave is generally 1.6 18 times or even more than that of A wave. By the end of the C wave, the stock price had fallen in an all-round way, which was terrible, the popularity was scattered and the market atmosphere was extremely pessimistic. However, if the low point of C wave is significantly higher than the low point of A wave, it is a strong or even super platform finishing.
In the decline of the C wave, the dealer's intraday smashing was obvious, and the fundamentals and news were negative frequently. Good news often becomes a good opportunity for dealers to ship goods, market sentiment is lax and funds are constantly being withdrawn. Contrary to the third wave, the C wave must appear in the form of five waves, and the end of the C wave is the beginning of a new wave.
4. Tangent characteristics
At this stage, an obvious downward channel is formed. When the stock price passes through a certain support level (region) in the early stage, it often stops briefly, and then breaks down, which will accelerate the decline. When the stock price rebounded to the pressure level (zone), it was suppressed and continued to fall.
5. Morphological characteristics
The common forms of spike stage are: straight line, "inverted N" shape, "inverted V" shape and so on.
(1) straight line. As the name implies, the stock price plummeted and the momentum was fierce. This phenomenon mostly occurs in stocks with huge gains, and there is no way to at least measure the decline.
(2) "inverted n" shape. After a round of decline, the stock price rebounded slightly and then resumed its downward trend. The stock price hit a new low and graphically "inverted N". There is no calculation method that can at least measure the decline of this disk.
(3) "inverted V" shape. After a fierce rebound, the stock price showed a rapid downward reversal at the top, with a large decline, and even returned to the position of the rising point. Graphically, it is an "inverted V"-shaped downward smash, and the dealer may complete the chip distribution through the smash.
Practical techniques for following the main operations.
The stock market is a place where retail investors and main players play games. If retail investors want to win in this market, on the one hand, they should consider from the banker's point of view and know all kinds of tricks of banker's operation, on the other hand, they should improve their own quality and learn all kinds of practical techniques that follow the banker's operation.
Look more at the market and do less trading.
In most cases, retail investors are at a disadvantage, and the chances of finding themselves better than the Zhuang family are very limited. Even the stock market master, it is difficult to find a good opportunity to follow the main operation every day. For ordinary retail investors, it often takes a long time to fully understand the trend of a stock.
Therefore, retail investors should try to reduce their trading times when following the main operation. When the market rules are not obvious or uncertain about the market outlook, retail investors had better wait and see. It is the fundamental reason why many novice investors lose money when they finally see the stock price move. If the operation is too frequent, it will inevitably lead to an increase in the number of trading failures and destroy the trading rhythm, so it is impossible to buy and sell frequently.
Pay attention to the changes of every transaction.
In the main trading process, they will try to hide their operation traces, and the signs of their operation may only appear in some subtle handicap changes. Therefore, investors must pay close attention to the changes of each transaction when watching the transaction, and find out the trading signals inadvertently revealed by the main force. According to these signals, investors can see the direction of the main trading from small to large.
Control positions and invest separately.
Retail investors are in a weak position when following the main operation, and they will fall into the trap of the main force if they are not careful. In order to avoid huge losses caused by trading failure, investors can choose the method of batch trading when trading a stock.
This method can help investors to test the market risk with a small number of positions first, and then invest more money after getting more confirmation signals. If the signal is found to be wrong, you can also quickly withdraw the warehouse to avoid the huge loss caused by the whole warehouse entering the market.
Set a strict stop loss.
In the process of stock operation, anyone will inevitably fall into the trap of the banker and eventually fall into a loss. Even the most powerful expert in stock trading can't reach the success rate of 100%. Therefore, when investors follow the main trading, they must pay special attention to avoiding trading risks. Stop loss is the most important way to control trading risks.
After investors lose money in trading, as long as the loss reaches a predetermined proportion, they must resolutely sell stocks, stop this loss state, and limit the loss of a transaction to an acceptable range. If you persist in this way for a long time, you will earn more when you are profitable, and the loss rate will be controlled when you lose money, effectively improving the profitability of investors in stock trading.
Taboo, fear and greed
When the banker operates, he needs to trick the retail investors into various buying operations. The fear and greed of retail investors are the most commonly used points of the banker. If the banker wants to induce retail investors to buy stocks, it will continuously raise the stock price, and sometimes even form a continuous daily limit. When retail investors see the daily limit of stock prices, they will be greedy and always want to earn more. Retail investors who have already held shares will continue to hold shares and not sell them, while shareholders who do not hold shares will chase after them and buy them crazily. When these investors chase up and buy stocks, the bookmakers will achieve the purpose of attracting more.
In order to avoid falling into the trap of the banker, investors must pay attention to controlling their greed and fear when watching the transaction and develop the habit of calm thinking. To this end, investors had better be able to establish a perfect operating system, whether buying or selling, trading according to their own index system and trading principles. Even if the market changes, as long as you use the operating system, you can get rational analysis results and will not be affected by your own greed and fear.
Long-term adherence to planned transactions
After designing their own trading plans, investors must stick to them for a long time. In the process of trading, we constantly find the loopholes and shortcomings of our trading plan and make improvements. In the end, investors will find that their most important job in trading is not to decide which stock to buy or sell, but to adjust their trading plan, and the specific trading operation is the result of the trading plan itself.