In 2023, the number of college entrance examinations in Guizhou Province will be around 6.5438+0.2 million.
College entrance examination is a very important exam in our country, which is related to the future of every student who takes the exam. Therefore, it is also very important to estimate the number of college entrance examination students, so as to predict the future education demand and social employment demand. Based on the current situation and historical data, the following estimates are provided.
In recent years, the number of college entrance examinations in Guizhou Province has increased year by year, which is related to economic development, improvement of education level and population growth. Education departments at all levels are also actively promoting the balanced development of compulsory education and popularizing high school education, which has played a positive role in promoting the growth of the number of college entrance examinations.
1. Data of the number of college entrance examinations in Guizhou Province in recent years
Judging from the data of the number of college entrance examinations in Guizhou Province in recent years, the overall number is increasing year by year. Take 20 19 as an example. In that year, the number of applicants for the college entrance examination in Guizhou Province was 752,000, an increase of more than 20,000 over 20 18. In 2020, the number of college entrance examination students exceeded 1 10,000, reaching1.01.7,000.
202 1, influenced by COVID-19, the college entrance examination was postponed, and the number of applicants decreased by about 2.6% compared with 20 19, with a decrease of about 20,000.
Second, speculation is based on the following reasons.
1, population base growth
In recent years, the population of Guizhou Province has increased from 39.06 million in 20 10 to 40170,000 in 2020, with an average annual growth rate of 0.28%. It is estimated that by 2023, the total population of Guizhou Province will further increase, which means that the base of college entrance examination students is larger.
2. The education level has been gradually improved.
With the development of social economy and the improvement of education level in Guizhou province, students continue to receive high school education and the probability of taking the college entrance examination is getting higher and higher. At the same time, people's awareness and attention to the college entrance examination is gradually improving, and the number of college entrance examination students is also increasing accordingly.
3. The epidemic situation in COVID-19 has gradually subsided.
The time of the college entrance examination was adjusted to the beginning of June, which was 1 months earlier than 202 1. This sign shows that the reference number of college entrance examination will return to normal state than during the epidemic period, that is, the state with large room for growth.