1, Section 1: The deadlock is difficult to break in the short term, and the school season may usher in a new life.

1 At the beginning of the year and in February 2023, the surplus grain from the previous year either poured into the market, causing great pressure on the market or causing the market price to drop again. By March or so, the epidemic situation will be stable, colleges and universities will open one after another, the group demand will increase, the demand for bean products will also increase substantially, and the market consumption capacity will gradually recover.

2. The second quarter: Spring sowing begins to enter a critical period, and the soybean market price may stop falling and stabilize.

As the off-season of soybean market purchase and sale in the second quarter, the trend of soybean price can be imagined, or it shows a weak operation pattern, and the market price is weak and steady.

3. Third quarter: The off-season of soybean market may deepen, and the eyes may turn to the growth of new beans.

It is estimated that the output of new beans will remain stable in 2023. In August, Hubei early-maturing varieties began to go on the market to seize the opportunity in the new bean market. In September, the national new beans also entered the market in turn. The open price of new beans may become a key topic for discussion at this time. The author believes that after experiencing the downturn of soybeans in 2022, the price of new soybeans will continue to be the price in 2022 in the early stage of stable quality in 2023.

4. Fourth quarter: adjust the inventory to meet new soybeans, and domestic soybeans enter an inflection point.

At present, it has entered the soybean alternation period, and some traders have begun to clean up their stocks one after another to welcome the new soybean season. As the number of new beans begins to increase, there may be a wave of sales peak. However, in view of the situation that soybeans will open higher and go lower in 2022, under the premise of stable quality of new soybeans in 2023, traders may be cautious in purchasing and dare not blindly open positions, fearing that the market will be unstable in the later period. The initial price may be stable. After the market stabilizes, China Grain Reserve will start to intervene in the acquisition, which will play a certain role in promoting the soybean market, and the soybean market price will also change due to the acquisition of the State Reserve.

Prospect of soybean market in 2023

2023 is the first year of the epidemic, and the import and export trade will be gradually liberalized. The economy of all walks of life is gradually recovering, and the demand for soybean terminals may gradually improve, thus supporting the price of new beans. Domestic and foreign soybeans are constrained by each other, and the overall market fluctuates within a narrow range. It is suggested that multi-party grain holders should not blindly hold negative prospects. In 2023, the national economy will gradually improve and the soybean market is still worth looking forward to.