Second: Why do I predict 750 yuan? I have a strong foundation. This year, I participated in exhibitions and conferences organized by Guangdong and Guangxi Tortoise Association for more than 30 times. I visited large venues and exchanged views with the leaders of local associations. Everyone knows that the tortoise can continue to develop and ensure the highest interests of farmers. I hope the opening can maintain 750 yuan, and then rise steadily.
Third, the stable production of cultured soft-shelled turtles is extremely hot now, and everyone is watching the market next year. The price of a truly stable cultured turtle in the market should be above 3,500 yuan/kg. According to the current average allocation of 2.5 kg, 1:2.5, a female turtle can produce 8 seedlings, which can realize the root-cause algorithm of stable breeding of turtles within two years. The seedling price of 2065,438+05 =(3500×2.5×3.5)÷2.
Medium price analysis:
First, the opening price of 750 yuan, many farmers will be in a wait-and-see attitude. There is very little heather circulating in the market, which will lead to the phenomenon of short supply. Many merchants can't receive the goods, and the boss wants more goods. Promote the price increase of Nanshimiao, and finally during this period, the trading price of Miao is between 800-850 yuan.
Second, the price of medium-sized seedlings is between 800 and 850 yuan, but it will never exceed that of 900 yuan. Why? Because at this time, the young turtle 20 14 is unsalable, and it is not easy to sell every year when the young turtle just comes out. At this time, the young turtle market is 1:2.5, and the price will be set at 1400 yuan/individual. How many farmers can accept the rise of young turtles to 900 yuan?
Third: the middle section at this time is very popular, which will also drive the sales of Lu 20 14. Some farmers who can't buy seedlings start with some turtle Lou. This further buffered the demand for seedlings and further stabilized it in the price range of 800~850.
Late price analysis:
The end of trading will close around 800 yuan, which will be the final freeze of the market. 800 yuan has its reasons for existence. First, Zhongmiao has been received by large households and farmers who are not short of money. Wei Miao, finally accepted are wait-and-see households, retail investors with little money. I have been waiting, hoping to reduce the price, but the market has been firm. I can't help it It's better than putting it in the bank. This makes the tail seedlings still in short supply, and it is also worth the money.
The above is my analysis, I don't know how many people will be offended. But what I am most concerned about is the interests of all farmers, so that they can better understand the market price, do what they can, act when they see it, and have no regrets.