Background of "Seed Industry Revitalization" China is a populous country and a big agricultural country. According to the latest statistics, China has a population of14120,000, while our cultivated land area is only19180,000 mu, which means that China feeds nearly 20% of the world's population with 9% of the world's cultivated land.
However, we are still not a strong agricultural country. Whether it is animal husbandry or planting, there is still a huge gap between our germplasm resources and the advanced level abroad! This gap directly leads to the backwardness of China's agricultural productivity level in developed countries. In order to produce a pig and a catty of grain, we need to pay more labor and resources.
For example, we consume 700 million pigs every year, but more than 90% of them are of foreign origin.
Throughout the world, "Landrace Pig, Large White Pig, Duroc Pig, Pitland Pig, Hampshire Pig" mainstream breeding pigs, none of them are domestic pigs, and we are too dependent on imports.
So we have to spend a lot of money to buy non-top breeding pigs from abroad and return home.
According to the in-depth analysis of the Report on Current Situation and Future Investment Forecast of China Breeding Pig Industry (2022-2029), the market size of China breeding pig industry in 200211200 million yuan; 24,462 breeding pigs were imported from abroad, up 60% year-on-year, of which 37% came from the United States, 33.2% from Denmark, 25.6% from France and 4.2% from Britain.
However, we spend hundreds of millions of yuan to buy breeding pigs from abroad every year, but what others sell us is not the "best product".
This affects the PSY level of sows in China, which can't catch up with the advanced level abroad.
Therefore, the state promotes "seed industry revitalization" and encourages enterprises and scientific research units to cultivate top-level breeding pigs with independent knowledge industries.
If we only look at today's "seed industry revitalization" and the aging population, the existing pig industry in China can meet the needs of the people, whether it is productivity or meat quality, or even more than enough! And it must be noted that with the development of pig raising technology, there will be fewer and fewer pig farmers! Because under the limited resources and demand, with the continuous improvement of productivity, the number of "producers" will eventually decrease.
Take fertile sows as an example. With the continuous improvement of PSY level, the number of sows needed will definitely decrease on the basis that China still eats 700 million pigs every year.
In the end, fewer and fewer people will feed back to raise pigs! A small number of high-quality breeding pigs must be in the hands of a few enterprises.
Then why are we doing this?
This is not only to prevent "breeding pigs" from being controlled like "chips" in the future, but more importantly, with the continuous reduction of national population resources, we must have more advanced productivity to complete production, so as to maximize the economic benefits of limited population resources and ensure the stability and development of the national economy and people's livelihood.
As we all know, China's population will decrease by 850,000 in 2022.
This is the first negative population growth in China since 6 1 year, and the first negative population growth since China's economic take-off, but it will definitely not be the last! Looking forward to the future, the total population will continue to decrease, which is a difficult problem that most rich countries in the world cannot solve today.
Rich, but few!
This will directly lead to the aging of the population, which is manifested as "the number of labor producers in China will continue to decrease, but the number of elderly people who need to support will continue to increase".
To put it simply, young people in the future, regardless of whether there are old people at home or not, will have a heavier social burden and need to produce more resources to promote the smooth progress of society.
Therefore, the limited population resources must be able to exert greater production benefits.
On the other hand, we are indeed experiencing a sharp decline in the number of pig farmers-in 2007, there were 82.35 million pig farmers in China, but by 20021year, there were only more than 20 million retail investors in China, plus about 500,000 pig enterprises.
Perhaps in our view, this is the "scale field" squeezing the production space of free-range farmers, but in depth, the essence is that the improvement of productivity has eliminated the weak links of production capacity. In this process, not only the free-range farmers were eliminated, but also the large-scale pig farms with backward productivity were eliminated! At the same time, some excellent free-range households have finally become "pig enterprise bosses"!
You know, Qin Yinglin started out as a farmer with 22 pigs! Moreover, we should also see that most people who quit the pig market have found jobs and careers that are more suitable for them in the process of rapid national economic development, and many people's lives have turned around since they stopped raising pigs.
It is the foundation of any country's economic development to put the right labor force into the most suitable mode of production and form the best productivity.
Therefore, with the "seed industry revitalization" in the future, the high-quality development of pig industry will be promoted rapidly, and the number of free-range households and pig-raising enterprises will be further reduced, but it will be beneficial to China's economy and employment and ensure the continuous improvement of national living standards.
The historical significance of "seed industry revitalization" So how many sows do we only need in the future?
The 2022 annual report of pig industry data of Micro Pig Technology shows that the national average PSY level is 2 1. 13, which is 2.56 higher than the previous year.
Then according to this PSY level, we can produce 700 million pigs a year, and only need to breed 33128,200 sows! Of course, pigs will be lost for various reasons in the production process. It is generally said in the industry that the mortality rate after weaning is 10%, which means that a total of 770 million pigs still need to be produced, and only about 36.44 million sows are needed in the end!
But many people are wrong. The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs announced that there are 43.9 million fertile sows.
In other words, if we count dead amoy, we need 770 million pigs a year, and if we count 43.9 million sows, our PSY level is 17.53.
Comparatively speaking, what kind of data do you prefer to believe? In fact, I prefer to compromise between the two kinds of data. On the one hand, some fertile sows are definitely not fully produced, on the other hand, there is still great controversy whether the national average PSY reaches 2 1. 13!
But in any case, we will definitely usher in the day when PSY exceeds 2 1 even 25, 26! At present, the PSY level in the United States is above 26. Even if it only reaches 25 pigs in the future, with an annual output of 770 million pigs (including dead pigs), it only needs more than 30 million sows!
This means that we will also reduce10 million sows!
This is the great historical significance of "seed industry revitalization". Less people, less land, less food, better pigs, more pigs! Therefore, as early as the Central Economic Work Conference at the end of 2020, it was proposed to tackle the technical problem of "bottleneck" of seed source, and the No.1 document of the Central Committee of 202 1 made a top-level design for seed industry revitalization.
At present, many provinces in China have given policy subsidies to the introduction of breeding pigs and fully supported the independent breeding of breeding pigs!
Looking at the industry from the perspective of economic and social development, we will find that "the high-quality and large-scale development of the pig industry" is a historical necessity, regardless of human will.
In order to better realize this high-quality development, "seed industry revitalization" is the cornerstone!
Regrettably, there will be more people who love to raise pigs in the future, but please believe that everyone's love and dedication are an important part of China's animal husbandry development and have indelible value. With the rapid development of the country brought by high-quality development, each of us will have a more real and beautiful life.
We gain from losses and advance through twists and turns.
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