2. The turnover rate can reach more than 29% in a day, which can only be one of the following situations: (1) The banker opens positions on a large scale, which generally occurs in the early stage of the market, such as 600654, 600 102, 0953, etc. Since the dealers have purchased so much, the stock price will hit a new high just around the corner; (2) It is the most common situation that bankers change hands at high positions. Generally, stock prices fluctuate widely after a considerable increase, and the main force is to clean up floating chips or shock shipments. However, due to the large volume of transactions that day, the main force will definitely be involved, so the market outlook will still fluctuate and rise.
3. The law of the amount of days mainly focuses on the sudden outbreak of stocks. There is a famous saying in the stock market that "the sky is one foot high and the ground is ten feet high". Investors often think that a stock is in danger of reversing when it releases sky-high prices and its share price basically peaks. Therefore, investors often go out decisively when a stock is issued, but the outcome may not be consistent with the traditional experience, which shows that it is not accurate enough to predict the future rise and fall of the stock price only by this intuitive experience, which has been proved by practice. After statistical analysis, we found a special "sky burst". Bull stocks often explode in the early and middle stages of the main rising wave market, and then the probability of the stock price hitting a new high is very high.
Is the accuracy of K-line combination related to the number of K-lines contained in the combination? Although the signs of tactics and anti-technical operations of the main players and bookmakers have been exposed from time to time recently, such as fierce dish washing, they often fall below the classic theory of bearish median on the 30-day moving average, and then reverse themselves to repair the rising channel, but it is always difficult to fool the volume and K-line combination.
The key to mastering K-line combination is to combine space-time position. The same combination has different meanings at the bottom, top and middle of the trend, and investors often ignore this problem and lead to mistakes. K-line combination is my favorite and most commonly used technical analysis method. Compared with other technical analysis methods, I have a deeper understanding and more experience, so I would like to communicate with my friends here.
I. Cladding line string 4 Cladding line is also referred to as cladding line, that is, a long K line wraps one or several K lines on the left. The winding strength is generally strong. The longer the length of the long K-line, the more K-lines wound on the left side, and the greater the strength.
Generally, the envelope is Long Yin shading or Changyang shading, and the combination of Yang shading or shading is still a positive line or a negative line, which is meaningless. 1, Bao Yang Yin at the bottom of Bao Yang Yin (1) generally appears at the bottom, such as the K-line charts of Shanghai Composite Index 1997 10/7 October and19 February 1999.
65438+1At the beginning of February, 1999, the market fell into a short-selling atmosphere of "dark clouds crush the city". Because February 9 was the last trading day before the Spring Festival, the institutions cashed in, and the turnover at that time had been continuously calculated. The author has written many times to remind retail investors not to cut meat in the field, but many of them still followed suit on February 8, and the strong rebound on February 9 made them regret it. On February 9, the time-sharing chart showed a unilateral upward trend, indicating the beginning of a new market. The author builds three quarters of positions in batches at the right time.
Yang indicated that people who bought at all prices the day before yesterday but didn't go out can make a profit, which greatly encouraged people's popularity and laid the foundation for continuous rise. If the two-day K-line is combined, it is a long shadow line with the opening price of the previous day as the opening position, the closing price of today as the closing position and the lowest price of the previous day as the lowest position. This is a typical bottom step signal.
⑵ Yin appears on the way to the mid-decline trend, which is generally of little significance, but it is the probability that the banker will make a fraud line, which is called a false positive line. Imagine that in the process of falling, especially after the ups and downs, it is impossible to stop falling and stabilize the bottom without the full release of short-term energy.
1998 Shanghai Composite Index has two small cross stars in June 5438+February 18 and February 2 1, and the RSI index on the 5th is 10. 90, 10 daily RSI indicator 18.
50 is the bottom signal of obvious oversold. On the 22nd, there was a strong rebound, and a Changyang swallowed the first three K-lines. The author was also confused by this and ate some chips from the bears. Later, it proved that this was the cheating line drawn by the main force, so we had to stop and come out again.
Therefore, after the emergence of a positive line similar to the "impact of the top three" on July 20 (a Changyang ate the first three K lines), the author was not optimistic, because although it began to fall on June 30, the short-term energy was basically not released and did not accelerate. The next day, at 2 1, a large amount of 22.7 billion yuan was released in Shanghai recently, but a small positive star was collected. Since then, it has gone through 8 trading days in a narrow range of around 30 o'clock, and has never exceeded the high point of July 20 1626.
After the appearance of the half-way yangbaoyin, it will not continue to fall immediately, but will slowly sort out for a period of time, gradually eat the low point of this false yang line, and then accelerate the decline. Therefore, as to whether July 20th is a false positive line, it is still uncertain at present, because the policy factors of the stock market play a decisive role at this stage, and the technical side often obeys the fundamentals.
However, a sentence from Mr. Qiu's K-line Dafa can be quoted here, which may help to identify this false positive line in the future. He said: "All the bottom areas are usually the most vulnerable moments in people's hearts. If investors' confidence can be regained only by relying on a big positive line, then this positive line is likely to be a' false positive line'.
On the other hand, when there is a big Yang line rising, but investors are hesitant, it is the real bottom signal. "The blowout that started in May 19 was like this. At that time, most people hesitated and stepped on the air, so the positive line was a signal that the yin was at the bottom.
In addition, there is an important indicator to identify false positive lines, which is one of the functions of ASI-leading prompt. If the stock price rises, ASI doesn't lead the rise synchronously, which can also explain that it is a false positive line. 2. Yang Yin Baohe Yang Yinbao generally appears at the top, such as the Shanghai Composite Index in April 12 and1June 30, 999, especially on June 30.
In addition, the same is true of the K-line of Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index on May 1997 16. 1On June 25th, 999, the Shanghai Stock Exchange released a historical turnover of 44.3 billion, followed by a sky-high price of 1756 on June 30th.
The author started shorting on June 28th, not because of the long shadow on June 30th, but because of the "Nana Ogawa-type" K-line combination on June 25th (this combination will be discussed later) and the price increase after June 25th. Now that we have the amount of money, there is no need to care about the price difference profit to the sky-high price. After all, the safety of funds comes first.
If the two K-lines are combined, it means that the opening price of the previous day is opening, the closing price of today is closing, and the highest price of today is the highest position, which is a typical peaking signal. In fact, on June 29th, a hanging wire was received, which already indicated the peak (we will talk about this K-line later), and Yin Chang on June 30th was only the final further confirmation.
If you can be trapped in the follow-up session above 1650, and understand the significance of this K-line combination, stop loss early or cut meat lightly, you won't be trapped so far. ⑵ The appearance of Yin Baoyang in the middle of the upward trend is as insignificant as the appearance of Yin Baoyang in the middle of the downward trend, but it is usually a means of deception by the banker and one of the methods of fierce dish washing.
This kind of K-line combination can often be encountered in the technical graphics of general stocks or markets. Sometimes, a long shadow can penetrate the 10 moving average, so that timid followers are knocked down.
If Yin Chang covers a few small yangxian lines in front, it is also called "hitting the top three", which means that it will take a break on the way up, and the trend will still go up. But sometimes it's not going up right away, but after a period of finishing, it won't accelerate until it exceeds the apex of Long Yin.
The meaning of other aspects is just the opposite of the way of yin. Japanese culture originated in China, so symmetrical examples can often be found in K-line analysis.
Judging from the two K-lines, piercing the head and breaking the foot, covering the top with dark clouds and breaking the dawn are the three most commonly used. Wearing a broken foot at the bottom is a good head and broken foot, commonly known as Bao Yang Yin; Yes
The significance of K-line combination in different spatial positions The comprehensive application of K-line combination, moving average and volume-price relationship is the most intuitive and vivid technical analysis method to judge the stock price operation.
Although the tactics of the main players and bookmakers have been exposed from time to time recently, such as fierce dish washing, which often falls below the 30-day moving average and then reverses the classic theory of repairing the rising channel, it is always difficult to fool the combination of trading volume and K-line. The key to mastering K-line combination is to combine space-time position. The same combination has different meanings at the bottom, top and middle of the trend, and investors often ignore this problem and lead to mistakes.
K-line combination is my favorite and most commonly used technical analysis method. Compared with other technical analysis methods, I have a deeper understanding and more experience, so I would like to communicate with my friends here. 1. Cladding line Cladding line is also called cladding line, that is, a long K line wraps one or several K lines on the left.
The winding strength is generally strong. The longer the length of the long K-line, the more K-lines wound on the left side, and the greater the strength. Generally, the envelope is Long Yin shading or Changyang shading, and the combination of Yang shading or shading is still a positive line or a negative line, which is meaningless.
1, Bao Yang Yin at the bottom of Bao Yang Yin (1) generally appears at the bottom, such as the K-line charts of Shanghai Composite Index 1997 10/7 October and19 February 1999. 65438+1At the beginning of February, 1999, the market fell into a short-selling atmosphere of "dark clouds crush the city". Because February 9 was the last trading day before the Spring Festival, the institutions cashed in, and the turnover at that time had been continuously calculated. The author has written many times to remind retail investors not to cut meat in the field, but many of them still followed suit on February 8, and the strong rebound on February 9 made them regret it.
On February 9, the time-sharing chart showed a unilateral upward trend, indicating the beginning of a new market. The author builds three quarters of positions in batches at the right time. Yang indicated that people who bought at all prices the day before yesterday but didn't go out can make a profit, which greatly encouraged people's popularity and laid the foundation for continuous rise.
If the two-day K-line is combined, it is a long shadow line with the opening price of the previous day as the opening position, the closing price of today as the closing position and the lowest price of the previous day as the lowest position. This is a typical bottom step signal. ⑵ Yin appears on the way to the mid-decline trend, which is generally of little significance, but it is the probability that the banker will make a fraud line, which is called a false positive line.
Imagine that in the process of falling, especially after the ups and downs, it is impossible to stop falling and stabilize the bottom without the full release of short-term energy. 1998 Shanghai Composite Index has two small cross stars in June 5438+February 18 and February 2 1, and the RSI index on the 5th is 10.
90, 10 daily RSI indicator 18. 50 is the bottom signal of obvious oversold.
On the 22nd, there was a strong rebound, and a Changyang swallowed the first three K-lines. The author was also confused by this and ate some chips from the bears. Later, it proved that this was the cheating line drawn by the main force, so we had to stop and come out again. Therefore, after the emergence of a positive line similar to the "impact of the top three" on July 20 (a Changyang ate the first three K lines), the author was not optimistic, because although it began to fall on June 30, the short-term energy was basically not released and did not accelerate.
The next day, at 2 1, a large amount of 22.7 billion yuan was released in Shanghai recently, but a small positive star was collected. Since then, it has gone through 8 trading days in a narrow range of around 30 o'clock, and has never exceeded the high point of July 20 1626. After the appearance of the half-way yangbaoyin, it will not continue to fall immediately, but will slowly sort out for a period of time, gradually eat the low point of this false yang line, and then accelerate the decline.
Therefore, as to whether July 20th is a false positive line, it is still uncertain at present, because the policy factors of the stock market play a decisive role at this stage, and the technical side often obeys the fundamentals. However, a sentence from Mr. Qiu's K-line Dafa can be quoted here, which may help to identify this false positive line in the future.
He said: "All the bottom areas are usually the most vulnerable moments in people's hearts. If investors' confidence can be regained only by relying on a big positive line, then this positive line is likely to be a' false positive line'. On the contrary, when the Dayang line rises and investors are hesitant, it is the real bottom signal. "
This is the case with the blowout that started on May 65438, 2009. At that time, most people hesitated and stepped empty, so the positive line was the signal that the bottom was being wrapped. In addition, there is an important indicator to identify false positive lines, which is one of the functions of ASI-leading prompt. If the stock price rises, ASI doesn't lead the rise synchronously, which can also explain that it is a false positive line.
2. Yin Baoyang at the top of Yin Baoyang (1) generally appears at the top, such as the Shanghai Composite Index in April 12 and1June 30, 999, especially June 30. In addition, the same is true of the K-line of Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index on May 1997 16.
1On June 25th, 999, the Shanghai Stock Exchange released a historical turnover of 44.3 billion, followed by a sky-high price of 1756 on June 30th. The author started shorting on June 28th, not because of the long shadow on June 30th, but because of the "Nana Ogawa-type" K-line combination on June 25th (this combination will be discussed later) and the price increase after June 25th.
Now that you have the amount of money, there is no need to care about the price difference profit to the sky-high price. After all, the safety of funds comes first. If the two K-lines are combined, it means that the opening price of the previous day is opening, the closing price of today is closing, and the highest price of today is the highest position, which is a typical peaking signal.
In fact, on June 29th, a hanging wire was received, which already indicated the peak (we will talk about this K-line later), and Yin Chang on June 30th was only the final further confirmation. If you can be trapped in the follow-up session above 1650, and understand the significance of this K-line combination, stop loss early or cut meat lightly, you won't be trapped so far.
⑵ The appearance of Yin Baoyang in the middle of the upward trend is as insignificant as the appearance of Yin Baoyang in the middle of the downward trend, but it is usually a means of deception by the banker and one of the methods of fierce dish washing. This kind of K-line combination can often be encountered in the technical graphics of general stocks or markets.
Sometimes, a long shadow can penetrate the 10 moving average, so that timid followers are knocked down. If Yin Chang covers a few small yangxian lines in front, it is also called "hitting the top three", which means that it will take a break on the way up, and the trend will still go up.
But sometimes it's not going up right away, but after a period of finishing, it won't accelerate until it exceeds the apex of Long Yin. The meaning of other aspects is just the opposite of the way of yin.
Second, the pregnancy line is opposite to the envelope line, and the small K line or reticle is bred on the right side of a long K line. In the upward trend, the left side is generally the Changyang line, while in the downward trend, it is.
What do you mean by the amount of sky and land often mentioned in stocks? Days:
Represents the huge trading volume of a stock or the whole market that day, and the volume of days is usually associated with breakthroughs. It is often said that the increase or decrease of the amount of days indicates that the stock price or index has deviated from the previous trend, which indicates the possibility of entering a rapid rising (falling) channel and morphological reversal.
Law of quantity:
The rule of the amount of days is mainly aimed at stocks that suddenly explode. There is a famous saying in the stock market that "the sky is one foot high and the ground is ten feet high". Investors often think that a stock is in danger of reversing when it releases sky-high prices and its share price basically peaks. Therefore, investors often go out decisively when a stock is issued, but the outcome may not be consistent with the traditional experience, which shows that it is not accurate enough to predict the future rise and fall of the stock price only by this intuitive experience, which has been proved by practice. After statistical analysis, we found a special "sky burst". Bull stocks often explode in the early and middle stages of the main rising wave market, and then the probability of the stock price hitting a new high is very high.
Sky price:
The so-called sky-high price and land price can be seen from the size of the transaction volume. When the transaction releases a huge amount, the stock price is often at a relatively high level, and when the transaction shrinks extremely, it means that the stock price has fallen to a relatively low level, which is particularly effective for short-term operators to find trading points. If the trading volume of a stock shrinks gradually over a period of time, when the equivalent cannot shrink further, it often means that the stock price will stop falling. Generally speaking, when the turnover of hot stocks is at the lowest level in a month, there may be a stage low, and vice versa.
Quantity:
The amount of land is relative to the number of days when the market is at a high level. By counting the trading volume data of stock indexes at historical highs and lows, we can find that the standard of land quantity can be traced back. The standard to measure whether the intermediate market has bottomed out is that the volume at the bottom should be reduced to less than 20% of the highest volume at the top. If the trading volume is greater than this ratio, it shows that there is still room for the stock index to fall; On the contrary, there is hope to see the bottom. Such as the famous "5. 19" market, the shrinkage is the most obvious, and the bottom built since then has created a bull market that lasts for 17 months. At other times, the degree of bottom shrinkage and the duration of bull market can also verify the same law.
The amount of land appears most when the market is light. When the market is light, the popularity is scattered, trading is inactive, the fluctuation range of stock price is narrow, there are not many arbitrage opportunities in the market, and there is almost no profit-making effect. Those who hold shares don't want to sell shares, and those who hold money don't want to buy shares, so the emergence of land is easy to understand. This period is often an opportunity for long-term buyers to enter the market.
When the stock price is about to bottom out, a lot of land has appeared. After a stock is hyped, there is always a way to make the price return to value. On the way of its slow decline, although the amount of land occasionally appears, it will soon be submerged by more selling pressure, which shows that the amount of land is unsustainable. When the stock price is about to bottom out, all the things that should be sold are sold, and those that are not sold don't want to sell any more, so the amount of land keeps appearing and persevering. If we combine the analysis of the company's fundamentals and intervene during this period, as long as we can stand the test of time, we will generally gain something.
The amount of land must appear at the end of the shock washing of the dealer. Any banker, when doing business, is obviously unwilling to lift the sedan chair for other investors, so as not to increase the arbitrage pressure on his way up. Therefore, it is very necessary to repeatedly shake the position before pulling up and clean up the profit-taking disk. So, how can a banker judge whether his shock position is valid or not, and whether it should end? There are many methods and means, and the appearance of ground quality is an important signal in technology. At this time, investors are unwilling to sell at a low price, or there is no stock to sell. Because the holders are confused about the stock market outlook, they dare not enter the market easily to grab the rebound, so the transaction is light, and the land volume arises spontaneously, which is generally sustainable. This period is often the time for the midline to enter the market. Generally speaking, if we combine other fundamental and technical analysis, there will be good returns.
Before pulling up, the amount of land will also appear intermittently when sorting. Before a stock is pulled up, it is always necessary to constantly confirm whether the plate is already light, so as to avoid failure due to excessive pressure when pulling up. In other words, before pulling up, it is necessary to keep most chips in a good locking state, that is, "locking positions". Judging the lock-up degree of a stock, technically speaking, the intermittent appearance of land volume is a good signal. Because the dealer needs to constantly reverse the manufacturing volume to achieve the purpose of shocking the warehouse, the amount of land appears intermittently at this stage. If you can keep up with Zhuang at the end of this period, you may eat the most fleshy part of this stock.
It can be seen that the land transaction volume, as a manifestation of the transaction volume index, cannot be deceptive, and has considerable practical guiding value for investors' operation, so it is widely expected to be awarded the title of "the most valuable technical index", and its authenticity and practicality are beyond the reach of other technical indicators.