Wang Mang's wife was once asked by Wang Mang to wear short skirts, which were only popular now. This kind of clothes was definitely not recognized at that time. Wang Mang also invented the vernier caliper, which is closely related to Peng's identity.
Many people think that Peng's crossing the river was in the period of Wang Mang's sudden change of temperament. At that time, Wang Mang personally killed several of his children and carried out a series of reforms. If we have a closer understanding, we can find that these reforms are very close to Peng's time. It seems that Peng is the identity of the traveler.
However, in fact? Peng was probably killed by a traitor in the team. Before Peng disappeared, according to his teammates, he went out to look for water. However, before Peng went out to look for water, the people in the team had contacted the headquarters and asked to transport the water by plane, but Peng went anyway.
It seems unreasonable to run out to look for water when you know that the water is coming. Peng was probably killed by a traitor in the team. Some historians have questioned Wang Mang's new measures, thinking that Wang Mang's administrative measures are just imitating some earlier systems. But this statement is far-fetched and cannot explain why Wang Mang's thought is so advanced.
Although Peng's identity and system when he disappeared are similar to those of Wang Mang's New Deal, it is more likely that Peng had an accident, or was killed by a traitor in the team, or directly defected to the enemy and betrayed the country, and never came back.
Whether Wang Mang is a passer-by or not, the possibility that Peng is Wang Mang is really low. After all, whether Peng is missing or not, Wang Mang is a real person in history.