Freezing OPEC production means keeping the current output unchanged, while reducing OPEC production means developing crude oil with reduced current output. Investors must be aware that OPEC members control two-thirds of the world's oil reserves, accounting for more than 78% of the world's oil reserves, providing more than 40% of oil consumption, accounting for 40% of global oil production and half of global oil exports. If the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries decides to reduce crude oil production, there is a great possibility that oil prices will rise.
On the contrary, if OPEC decides to increase crude oil production, oil prices will fall rapidly. If OPEC keeps its output unchanged, oil prices will continue the current trend. At present, the market is closely watching Wednesday's meeting. Once the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries reaches an agreement on frozen production, the global oversupply of crude oil is expected to ease, and the price of crude oil will return to more than $50. On the contrary, the OPEC frozen production agreement was aborted again, and oil prices plummeted.
Sue's point of view: friends who are oil companies have been paying attention to the market recently. The recent market is wide every day, but it will fall today and tomorrow, and the width will reach more than 2 dollars. The main reason is that the market has great expectations for this frozen product. The influence of width is the previous talks of major oil-producing countries, including Iraq's previous request for exemption (that is, non-cooperation) and Iran's affirmative support now. If expectations are too high, oil-producing countries will disagree.
Su forecast: I personally predict that if the market cycle is too high and a production reduction agreement is reached, the oil price will definitely rise to 60 dollars, and the oil price will not reach the low point this year. The oil surplus is serious, and the price below 40 dollars is certain. Here, on the one hand, it is to prevent serious unilateral losses caused by headwinds, and on the other hand, it is to pay attention to medium and long-term opportunities. After this wave of agreements is reached, a profit of about 12 US dollars can be obtained in the afternoon (instead of asphalt fuel 1000 points, no exaggeration). If not, the market will drop by 5~8 USD (600 points instead of asphalt fuel). When ordering food, we mainly consider homeopathy. The operation method of the market is to raise prices and reduce prices. You don't need to use 100% to seize the market.
Fundamental analysis is a method to predict the change trend of crude oil spot price by analyzing the supply and demand relationship of crude oil spot products and its influencing factors. There are too many factors that affect the oil price, and the impact on the price is difficult to measure. The basic role of crude oil spot cannot be ignored. How to analyze spot crude oil investment from the basic aspect?
1, spot crude oil investment should pay attention to the timeliness of news.