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What is the development trend of China in the next five years?
What is the development trend of China in the next five years? The 12th Five-Year Plan has given the answer! The task of enriching the people must be clearly put forward as the overall plan to guide China's economic and social development in the next five years. In my opinion, the goal and task of "enriching the people" should be clearly put forward in the Twelfth Five-Year Plan. Every five-year plan or plan in China has a relatively clear theme. The so-called theme is the problem to be solved in the next five years. Of course, whether the problem can be solved in the end depends on many factors, but there is always a relatively concentrated theme when planning. Specific to the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan", the reason why "enriching the people" is put forward as a problem that must be solved is based on the following considerations. First of all, the Twelfth Five-Year Plan is a new starting point for China after 60 years. China has just celebrated his 60th birthday, and entering the next Jiazi should have new development ideas. Secondly, the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" is the first five-year plan implemented by China after the international financial crisis. This financial crisis has put forward some new propositions for the world and China. Third, after 30 years of reform and development, China's per capita GDP reached $3,200 for the first time. According to international standards, when the per capita GDP reaches more than $3,000, it begins to enter the middle and late stage of industrialization. The development ideas in this period are definitely different from those in the past. The above three points determine that the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" is fundamentally different from the previous eleven plans. This difference is that the past eleven plans pursued "national strength" and the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" pursued "people's wealth". Of course, this does not mean that people's lives have not improved in the 60 years since the founding of the People's Republic of China, especially in the 30 years of reform, but that people's wealth has not increased as fast as GDP in general. Moreover, according to the poverty standard of the United Nations, there are at least 1 100 million people living below the poverty line in China. In addition, judging from the situation in recent years, many social problems in China are directly related to the gap between the rich and the poor and people's general poverty. For example, structural adjustment and economic transformation, insufficient consumption and domestic demand, and even some mass incidents all have the shadow of polarization between the rich and the poor. The polarization between the rich and the poor even directly affects the social stability of China. Therefore, the focus of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" policy should be shifted to improving residents' income, narrowing the gap between the rich and the poor, and enriching the people as new ideas and strategies, and making a road map around how to "enrich the people". After 30 years of development, China's economic strength today has provided a material basis for solving the problem of "enriching the people". People are the foundation of the country. The relationship between "the people are rich and the country is strong" is that the people are rich before the country is strong, not the other way around. In fact, the history of the rise and fall of many countries also tells people that although the wealth of the people does not necessarily equal the strength of the country, the people are not rich and the country will be weak; Even if it shows a certain strength, it can only be strong outside and hollow inside. Only the strength based on the general prosperity of the people is fundamentally powerful. Therefore, the city government of China needs to renew its concept and take "enriching the people" as a clear policy goal and task. Therefore, it is necessary to formulate a long-term strategic plan to improve welfare when compiling the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan". The purpose of this strategic plan is to lay the foundation for building a competitive, fair and just welfare state. The root of structural imbalance lies in the government leading the economy to "enrich the people". Although this is an economic problem, its solution cannot be separated from politics. In fact, the formation and expansion of the gap between the rich and the poor since the reform itself has political factors. Why is the economy growing at a high speed, but people's living standards have not improved simultaneously? The crux lies in the unreasonable distribution of cakes. In other words, the biggest beneficiaries of economic development achievements are not ordinary people, but the government and its interest groups related to public power, as well as managers and employees of capital interest groups and monopoly state-owned enterprises. The reason why the government can take the lion's share of national income and control wealth at will without supervision, and the reason why capital can suppress a large number of laborers lies in the excessive power of the government. China has traditionally been a big government. Both government officials and ordinary people have a big government concept in their hearts. Therefore, if we want to change the unreasonable income distribution under the condition of excessive government power, we must treat it as a political problem, otherwise, it will be difficult to solve it only as an economic problem. On the other hand, although the problem of "enriching the people" is very important in the next five years or even longer, it is not the whole problem after all and cannot replace the solution of other problems. As mentioned at the beginning of this paper, from an official point of view, the 12th Five-Year Plan should first solve the structural problems formed by various structures such as industrial structure, urban-rural structure and regional structure. Structural problems are not a new problem in China, but they are still listed as the top priority in the Twelfth Five-Year Plan, which shows that the harm caused by structural problems to China's economy and society is unsustainable. The current situation is that although the top management has realized the seriousness of the problem, it is still quite difficult to solve it, otherwise it would not have accumulated to this extent today. The imbalance of China's economic structure is largely caused by improper government intervention. As we all know, China's economic growth mode is a government-led economic growth mode, which is characterized by the pursuit of GDP as the main goal, the expansion of investment scale as the main task, heavy chemical industry projects and keen land lease as the main ways, and administrative promotion and administrative intervention as the main means. Under this growth model, the faster the economic development, the greater the profits of the government, especially local governments. There is a simple reason. The government cuts the cake with a knife, and of course he will keep the biggest piece for himself. Once the benefits are accumulated, it is difficult to change. This is also the fundamental reason for the slow progress in structural adjustment and transformation of economic growth mode over the years. Moreover, when encountering external crisis, like this financial crisis, in order to maintain growth and structural imbalance, the government's leading role in economic growth mode will be further strengthened. Government reform promotes government reform through external forces. Therefore, the key to changing the growth mode and promoting various structural adjustments lies in changing the governance mode of the government. If the government does not give up its leading role in the mode of economic growth and does not base its intervention in economic operation on the market, changing the mode of development will only be empty talk. However, when the government has become the biggest profit-making group in the market, it is easy to ask the government to give up its own interests and take the initiative to reform. At this time, it is necessary to rely on non-governmental external forces to promote government change. External forces can modify and supplement administrative power through legislation and other means, or prevent excessive use of administrative power through strict procedures, or strengthen social supervision over administrative power, thus forcing the government to: (1) transform and reduce the administrative functions of the government and limit administrative power; (2) standardize administrative behavior and control administrative power; (3) Strengthen social autonomy, transform part of administrative power into social power, and enable citizens to participate in the management and supervision of state affairs. In this way, the government's public governance structure has been established. It should be said that under the background of the diversification of interest subjects and the basic reality of interest game, it is possible to promote government reform by relying on a wide range of social organizations and social forces, including the market forces of economic subjects, and this possibility is increasing. In short, in order to reduce the government's improper intervention in the economy, it is necessary for the government to form a stable and perfect power operation mechanism and framework. When the government exercises public power in a more standardized way, economic subjects will naturally complete the adjustment of economic structure and the transformation of growth mode under the role of the market, without the government's efforts. In this regard, whether the objectives and tasks of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan can be completed as scheduled depends on the degree of government reform. & lt/SPAN>。 & lt/p & gt; The full text of the 12th Five-Year Plan (20 1 1-20 15) formulated by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China was published for the first time. The "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" puts forward that the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period is a crucial period for building a well-off society in an all-round way, deepening reform and opening up, and accelerating the transformation of economic development mode. We should coordinate the domestic and international situations, grasp the new orientation of global economic division of labor, and actively create new advantages in participating in international economic cooperation and competition. What role does the Twelfth Five-Year Plan play in social and economic development and residents' work and life? As for the central "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" that "accelerating the transformation of economic development mode is the main line", the history of the general office of the Provincial Economic and Information Technology Committee believes that extensive methods can no longer adapt to economic development, and it is suggested that economic transformation should be the main line to conform to China's national conditions and new characteristics of development stage. Experts believe that the "strategy of expanding domestic demand, especially consumer demand" put forward by the state will help accelerate the formation of a new situation in which consumption, investment and export are coordinated to promote economic growth. The social security network is becoming more and more dense, exploring the integration of urban and rural social security and establishing a normal adjustment mechanism for pensions. Experts suggest that property tax and inheritance tax should be levied moderately to reduce the tax on entrepreneurship and employment. By deepening the medical reform to alleviate the difficulty and high cost of seeing a doctor, people will get less sick, see a doctor more conveniently and reduce medical expenses. The balanced development of population should also give priority to the all-round development of people and solve the population problem as a whole.